Tribhuvan University
Faculty of Management
Office of the Dean
2079 BS / Regular Examination
Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. The figures in the margin indicate full marks.
Section A
Attempt All question
[10*2=20]- [2]
If mean = 35, mode = 40 and standard deviation = 10. Find Karl Pearson’s coefficient of skewness and interpret the result.
View model solution
Step 1: Given values
- Mean (
) = - Mode (
) = - Standard Deviation (
) =
Step 2: Karl Pearson’s formula based on Mode
Step 3: Calculation
Conclusion: Karl Pearson’s coefficient of skewness is -0.5, indicating that the distribution is moderately negatively skewed.
- Mean (
- [2]
Find Karl Pearson’s correlation coefficient between X and Y from the following information. N = 10, ΣX = 125, ΣY = 50, ΣX² = 2080, ΣY² = 2085, ΣXY = 1050
View model solution
Step 1: State given summary statistics
Step 2: Apply Karl Pearson’s Product-Moment formula
Step 3: Evaluate Numerator and Denominator
-
Numerator:
-
Denominator:
Step 4: Compute
Conclusion: The correlation coefficient is +0.436, indicating a moderate positive linear correlation between
and . -
- [2]
The standard deviation of mesokurtic distribution is 7. What must be the value of fourth moment about mean?
View model solution
Step 1: Identify given properties
- Standard Deviation (
) = Variance ( ) = . - The distribution is mesokurtic (Normal).
Step 2: Property of a Mesokurtic Distribution For a mesokurtic distribution, the kurtosis coefficient
: Step 3: Solve for the Fourth Central Moment (
) Conclusion: The fourth moment about the mean is 7,203.
- Standard Deviation (
- [2]
Ram and Sita appear for an interview for two different posts. The probabilities of their selection are 3/4 and 1/5 respectively. Find the probability that (a) both of them will be selected (b) none of them will be selected.
View model solution
Step 1: Define events and probabilities Let:
(Probability Ram is not selected) (Probability Sita is not selected)
Since the interviews are for two different posts, events
and are statistically independent.
Part (a): Probability both will be selected
Part (b): Probability none of them will be selected
- [2]
The year of origin of the following trend line equation of sales (in millions rupees) is 2015. Y = 50 + 2.5X Estimate the sales for the year 2022.
View model solution
Step 1: Identify given equation and parameters
- Trend equation:
(Sales in million Rs.) - Origin: Year
( in 2015, unit of year)
Step 2: Find
for the year 2022 Step 3: Estimate Sales (
) Conclusion: The estimated sales for the year 2022 is Rs. 67.5 million (Rs. 67,500,000).
- Trend equation:
- [2]
The following table shows the monthly income of workers of two manufacturing companies A and B
The following table shows the monthly income of
workers of two manufacturing Companines A and B
Company A Company B
Mean -monthly income Rs 2550 Rs .2800
Numbers of workers 100 110
View model solution
Step 1: Identify given values
- Company A:
- Company B:
Step 2: Formula for combined arithmetic mean
Step 3: Calculation
Conclusion: The combined mean monthly income of workers across both companies is Rs. 2,680.95.
- Company A:
- [2]
Find simple aggregative price index number for the year 2021 from the following information.
Commodites A B C D E F Price in 2020(Rs.) 160 140 150 130 155 120 Price in 2021(Rs.) 170 135 155 140 150 30 View model solution
Step 1: Calculate total prices for Base Year (2020) and Current Year (2021)
- Base year prices:
- Current year prices:
Step 2: Formula for Simple Aggregative Price Index
Step 3: Calculation
Conclusion: The simple aggregative price index number for 2021 is 91.23, indicating an overall price decline of 8.77% (
) relative to 2020. - Base year prices:
- [2]
Find 7(A+B) where A=
1 2 5 2 1 3 3 3 2 and B =
3 1 5 2 5 1 1 3 2 View model solution
Step 1: Compute matrix sum
Step 2: Scalar multiplication by 7
- [2]
Find the value of determinant of following matrix:
1 2 3 2 5 1 9 3 2 View model solution
Let the determinant be:
Expansion along Row 1 (
): Evaluate
determinants: Summing the terms:
Conclusion: The value of the determinant is -100.
- [2]
What is chronological classification? Give an example.
View model solution
Definition: Chronological (or Temporal) Classification is the systematic arrangement and categorization of statistical data according to the time of occurrence, such as years, quarters, months, weeks, or days. It displays how a variable evolves or fluctuates across time periods.
Example: Annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows into Nepal:
Year FDI Inflow (in Billion NPR) 2020 18.5 2021 19.8 2022 17.2 2023 21.4
Section B
Attempt any Five questions
[5*10=50]- [10]
The marks distribution of 100 students of a College is as follows:
Marks 10 - 20 20 - 30 30 - 40 40 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 80 No.of students 8 16 25 22 15 9 5 Determine the limits of marks of middle 80% of the students .
View model solution
Analytical Interpretation:
The middle 80% of students lies symmetrically between the lower 10% and the upper 10% of the distribution. Therefore, we must find:
- Lower Limit:
Percentile ( ) - Upper Limit:
Percentile ( )
Step 1: Cumulative Frequency Table
Marks Class Frequency ( ) Cumulative Frequency ( ) 10 - 20 8 8 20 - 30 16 24 30 - 40 25 49 40 - 50 22 71 50 - 60 15 86 60 - 70 9 95 70 - 80 5 100 Total
Step 2: Calculate Lower Limit (
) - Position of
item. - Looking at the
column, the item falls in class 20 - 30. $
Step 3: Calculate Upper Limit (
) - Position of
item. - Looking at the
column, the item falls in class 60 - 70. $
Conclusion:
The limits of marks obtained by the middle 80% of the students are 21.25 marks to 64.44 marks.
- Lower Limit:
- [5]
An enquiry into the budget of middle class families in a certain locality of a city gave the following information:
Expenses on Food Rent Clothing Fuel Misc 30% 15% 20% 10% 25% Price in 2021(Rs.) 160 60 110 30 80 Price in 2022(Rs.) 184 70 135 55 100 What is the cost of living index number of 2022 as compared to 2021? If an Employee’s monthly salary is Rs. 40,500 in base period what should be his/her salary in current period ?
View model solution
Step 1: Set up the Cost of Living Index (Family Budget Method)
Let:
- Base year (2021) price
- Current year (2022) price
- Weight (percentage expense)
- Price Relative
Expense Category Weight ( ) (2021) (2022) Food 30 160 184 Rent 15 60 70 Clothing 20 110 135 Fuel 10 30 55 Miscellaneous 25 80 100 Total
Step 2: Compute Cost of Living Index Number (
) The cost of living in 2022 increased by 26.13% compared to 2021.
Step 3: Compute Adjusted Salary in Current Period
To maintain the same standard of living as in the base period:
Conclusion:
- The Cost of Living Index for 2022 is 126.13.
- The employee’s monthly salary in the current period should be raised to Rs. 51,083 to maintain their real purchasing power.
- Base year (2021) price
- [10]
Solve the following linear programming problem:
Minimize
Subject to constraints: andView model solution
Step 1: Formulate Boundary Equations for the Constraints
-
Line 1:
- Testing
: is False (region is away from the origin).
-
Line 2:
- Testing
: is False (region is away from the origin).
-
Line 3:
- Testing
: is False (region is away from the origin).
-
Non-negativity:
restricts the region to the first quadrant.
Step 2: Find Intersection Points between Constraints
-
Intersection of Line 1 (
) and Line 2 ( ): Subtract equations: . Then . Point . Check Line 3: (Feasible). -
Intersection of Line 2 (
) and Line 3 ( ): Subtract equations: . Then . Point . Check Line 1: (Feasible).
Step 3: Identify the Feasible Region Corner Points The feasible region is unbounded above, with extreme boundary vertices:
on the Y-axis (since ). on the X-axis (since ).
Step 4: Evaluate Objective Function
Corner Point 0 10 1 5 4 2 (Minimum) 12 0
Step 5: Verification for Unbounded Region Since the feasible region is unbounded, we must verify if the open half-plane
shares any points with the feasible region. Graphing : - At
: - At
: - At
: The half-plane lies entirely below the boundary and shares no points with the feasible region.
Conclusion: The minimum cost is
, obtained at and . -
- [10]
a) From the given Pay-off table, give the decision according to
(i) Maximax approach (ii) Maximin approach (iii) Minimax Regret approach.
State of natures Strategies S1 S2 S3 N1 400 200 700 N2 100 600 300 N3 500 300 100 (b) Two fair dice are rolled at the same time. What is the probability that the two faces turn up to show (i) a sum of 8 or 9 (ii) a sum less than 5?
View model solution
Part (a): Decision Making Under Uncertainty (5 Marks)
Given Payoff Matrix:
States of Nature 400 200 700 100 600 300 500 300 100 Transpose to strategies as rows (actions under control):
Strategy Strategy Min Strategy Max 400 100 500 100 500 200 600 300 200 600 700 300 100 100 700 (i) Maximax Approach (Optimistic):
- Max payoffs:
. for . - Decision: Select strategy
.
(ii) Maximin Approach (Pessimistic):
- Min payoffs:
. for . - Decision: Select strategy
.
(iii) Minimax Regret Approach:
Find maximum payoff in each state of nature:
- Max for
, Max for , Max for .
Regret Table
: Strategy Maximum Regret 500 500 400 for . - Decision: Select strategy
.
Part (b): Dice Probability Problem (5 Marks)
Total possible outcomes when two fair dice are rolled:
. (i) Probability of getting a sum of 8 or 9:
- Outcomes for Sum = 8:
outcomes. - Outcomes for Sum = 9:
outcomes. - Total favorable outcomes
.
(ii) Probability of getting a sum less than 5:
- Sum can be 2, 3, or 4:
- Sum = 2:
outcome - Sum = 3:
outcomes - Sum = 4:
outcomes
- Sum = 2:
- Total favorable outcomes
.
- Max payoffs:
- [10]
The following table reveals the sales distribution of a business house from the year 2016 to 2020:
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Sales (in '000 Rs) 50 51 60 75 100 Fit a trend line equation of given data. Calculate trend values and estimate sales of the year 2024.
View model solution
Step 1: Set up the Least Squares Calculation Table
Number of years
(odd). Let middle year be the origin ( ). Step deviation , so . Year Sales (in '000 Rs) Trend Values ( ) 2016 50 -2 4 -100 2017 51 -1 1 -51 2018 60 0 0 0 2019 75 1 1 75 2020 100 2 4 200 Total
Step 2: Fit the Straight Line Trend Equation
Linear trend equation:
Since: The fitted trend line equation is:
Step 3: Estimate Sales for the Year 2024
For Year
: Conclusion:
- The fitted trend equation is
. - Estimated sales for 2024 is Rs. 141,600 (
).
- The fitted trend equation is
- [10]
Solve the following system of linear equations by using determinant or matrix method:
View model solution
We solve the system using Cramer’s Rule (Determinant Method).
Step 1: Compute Coefficient Determinant (
) Expanding along Row 1 (
): Since, a unique solution exists.
Step 2: Calculate
(replace 1st column with constant terms ) Expanding along Row 1:
Step 3: Calculate
(replace 2nd column with ) Expanding along Row 1:
Step 4: Calculate
(replace 3rd column with ) Expanding along Row 1:
Step 5: Apply Cramer’s Rule
Verification: Substitute into equation 1:
(Matches). Substitute into equation 3: (Matches).
Section C
Attempt any Two questions .
[2*15=30]- [15]
A factory produces two types of electric lamps A and B. In an experiment relating to their life, the following results were obtained:
Life (in years ) Number of Motors Model A Model B 0 - 2 5 4 2 - 4 11 30 4 - 6 26 12 6 - 8 10 8 8 - 10 8 6 (a) Find which model of electrical lamp has greater uniformatily of life ? Give the reason
(b) Calculate the combined standard deviation
View model solution
Step 1: Calculation Table
Mid-values
: . Let assumed mean , class width . Step deviation . Life (years) 0 - 2 1 -2 5 -10 20 4 -8 16 2 - 4 3 -1 11 -11 11 30 -30 30 4 - 6 5 0 26 0 0 12 0 0 6 - 8 7 1 10 10 10 8 8 8 8 - 10 9 2 8 16 32 6 12 24 Total
Step 2: Statistical Measures for Model A
-
Mean (
): -
Standard Deviation (
): -
Coefficient of Variation (
):
Step 3: Statistical Measures for Model B
-
Mean (
): -
Standard Deviation (
): -
Coefficient of Variation (
):
Part (a): Uniformity Comparison
Reasoning: Since
, Model A has a smaller relative variation in life. Therefore, Model A has greater uniformity of life.
Part (b): Combined Standard Deviation (
) -
Combined Mean (
): -
Deviations from Combined Mean:
-
Combined Variance Formula:
Conclusion: The combined standard deviation of both models is 2.233 years.
-
- [15]
The following data shows the income distribution of families of a certain locality of a city. Calculate the coefficient of skewness and kurtosis and hence comment on the nature of the income distribution.
Income ( in millions Rs) Number of Families 10 - 20 5 20 - 30 9 30 - 40 18 40 - 50 26 50 - 60 20 60 - 70 12 70 - 80 7 80 - 90 3 View model solution
Step 1: Set up the Calculation Table
Mid-values
: . Let assumed mean , class width . Step deviation . Class Mid-point ( ) 10 - 20 15 5 -3 -15 45 5 20 - 30 25 9 -2 -18 36 14 30 - 40 35 18 -1 -18 18 32 40 - 50 45 26 0 0 0 58 50 - 60 55 20 1 20 20 78 60 - 70 65 12 2 24 48 90 70 - 80 75 7 3 21 63 97 80 - 90 85 3 4 12 48 100 Total
Step 2: Calculate Mean, Mode, and Standard Deviation
-
Mean (
): -
Mode (
): Highest frequency lies in modal class 40 - 50. $
-
Standard Deviation (
):
Step 3: Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness (
)
Step 4: Percentile Coefficient of Kurtosis (
) -
( item): Falls in class 30 - 40 ( ). -
( item): Falls in class 50 - 60 ( ). -
( item): Falls in class 20 - 30 ( ). -
( item): Falls in class 60 - 70 ( ). -
Coefficient of Kurtosis (
):
Comments on the Nature of Income Distribution:
- Skewness (
): The distribution is slightly positively skewed, indicating that the tail stretches slightly toward higher income levels, with a majority of families earning below the mean income of Rs. 47.60 million. - Kurtosis (
): Since , the distribution is platykurtic, meaning it has a broader, flatter peak than a standard bell-shaped normal curve.
-
- [15]
The following two way table shows the sales revenue (in lakhs Rs.) and advertising expenditure (in lakhs Rs.) of a company. Find correlation coefficient between them and interpret the result. Also test the significance of correlation coefficient. Estimate the sales revenue when advertising expenditure is Rs. 50 lakhs
Sales Revenue ( in Lakh Rs) Advertising Expenditure (in Lakhs Rs) 5 -15 15 - 25 25 - 35 35 -45 Total 75 -125 3 4 4 8 19 125 -175 8 6 5 7 26 175 - 225 2 2 3 4 11 225 - 275 3 3 2 2 10 Total 16 15 14 21 66 View model solution
Step 1: Variable Definition and Step Deviation Coding
Let:
Advertising Expenditure (in Lakhs Rs.): Mid-points . - Let assumed mean
, class interval . .
- Let assumed mean
Sales Revenue (in Lakhs Rs.): Mid-points . - Let assumed mean
, class interval . .
- Let assumed mean
Step 2: Bivariate Calculation Table
(10) (20) (30) (40) (100) 3 [fuv = 3] 4 [0] 4 [fuv = -4] 8 [fuv = -16] 19 -1 -19 19 -17 (150) 8 [0] 6 [0] 5 [0] 7 [0] 26 0 0 0 0 (200) 2 [fuv = -2] 2 [0] 3 [fuv = 3] 4 [fuv = 8] 11 1 11 11 9 (250) 3 [fuv = -6] 3 [0] 2 [fuv = 4] 2 [fuv = 8] 10 2 20 40 6 16 15 14 21 -1 0 1 2 -16 0 14 42 16 0 14 84
Step 3: Compute Correlation Coefficient (
) -
-
-
-
$ -
Numerator:
-
Denominator:
Interpretation: There is a very weak negative correlation (
) between advertising expenditure and sales revenue in this dataset.
Step 4: Test of Significance of Correlation Coefficient
Using Probable Error (
): Decision Rule:
- If
, correlation is statistically significant. - Here,
. - Since
, the correlation coefficient is NOT statistically significant.
Step 5: Estimate Sales Revenue (
) when Advertising ( ) is Rs. 50 Lakhs Compute Means and Regression Coefficient
: Regression coefficient of
on : Regression equation of
on : When Advertising
Lakhs: Conclusion: When advertising expenditure is Rs. 50 lakhs, the estimated sales revenue is Rs. 146.72 lakhs (Rs. 14,672,000).