Board paper

Business Statistics 2079 Board Question Paper

MGT 202 · Business Statistics

Programme
BBS
Academic year
First Year
Exam year
2079 BS
Sitting
regular
Full marks
100
Duration
180 minutes

Tribhuvan University

Faculty of Management

Office of the Dean

2079 BS / Regular Examination

Course: MGT 202 · Business Statistics

Level: Bachelor of Business Studies (BBS) · First Year

Full Marks: 100

Time: 3 hrs.

Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. The figures in the margin indicate full marks.

Section A

Attempt All question

[10*2=20]
  1. If mean = 35, mode = 40 and standard deviation = 10. Find Karl Pearson’s coefficient of skewness and interpret the result.

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Given values

    • Mean (Xˉ\bar{X}) = 3535
    • Mode (MoM_o) = 4040
    • Standard Deviation (σ\sigma) = 1010

    Step 2: Karl Pearson’s formula based on Mode

    Sk=XˉMoσS_k = \frac{\bar{X} - M_o}{\sigma}

    Step 3: Calculation

    Sk=354010=510=0.5S_k = \frac{35 - 40}{10} = \frac{-5}{10} = -0.5

    Conclusion: Karl Pearson’s coefficient of skewness is -0.5, indicating that the distribution is moderately negatively skewed.

  2. Find Karl Pearson’s correlation coefficient between X and Y from the following information. N = 10, ΣX = 125, ΣY = 50, ΣX² = 2080, ΣY² = 2085, ΣXY = 1050

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: State given summary statistics N=10,X=125,Y=50N = 10, \quad \sum X = 125, \quad \sum Y = 50 X2=2080,Y2=2085,XY=1050\sum X^2 = 2080, \quad \sum Y^2 = 2085, \quad \sum XY = 1050

    Step 2: Apply Karl Pearson’s Product-Moment formula

    r=NXY(X)(Y)[NX2(X)2][NY2(Y)2]r = \frac{N\sum XY - (\sum X)(\sum Y)}{\sqrt{\left[N\sum X^2 - (\sum X)^2\right] \left[N\sum Y^2 - (\sum Y)^2\right]}}

    Step 3: Evaluate Numerator and Denominator

    • Numerator:

      10(1050)(125)(50)=10,5006,250=4,25010(1050) - (125)(50) = 10,500 - 6,250 = 4,250

    • Denominator:

      [10(2080)(125)2][10(2085)(50)2]\sqrt{[10(2080) - (125)^2] [10(2085) - (50)^2]}
      =[20,80015,625][20,8502,500]=5,175×18,350=94,961,2509744.806= \sqrt{[20,800 - 15,625] [20,850 - 2,500]} = \sqrt{5,175 \times 18,350} = \sqrt{94,961,250} \approx 9744.806

    Step 4: Compute rr

    r=4,2509744.8060.436r = \frac{4,250}{9744.806} \approx \mathbf{0.436}

    Conclusion: The correlation coefficient is +0.436, indicating a moderate positive linear correlation between XX and YY.

  3. The standard deviation of mesokurtic distribution is 7. What must be the value of fourth moment about mean?

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Identify given properties

    • Standard Deviation (σ\sigma) = 7    7 \implies Variance (μ2\mu_2) = σ2=72=49\sigma^2 = 7^2 = 49.
    • The distribution is mesokurtic (Normal).

    Step 2: Property of a Mesokurtic Distribution For a mesokurtic distribution, the kurtosis coefficient β2=3\beta_2 = 3:

    β2=μ4μ22=3\beta_2 = \frac{\mu_4}{\mu_2^2} = 3

    Step 3: Solve for the Fourth Central Moment (μ4\mu_4)

    μ4=3×μ22=3×(49)2=3×2,401=7,203\mu_4 = 3 \times \mu_2^2 = 3 \times (49)^2 = 3 \times 2,401 = \mathbf{7,203}

    Conclusion: The fourth moment about the mean is 7,203.

  4. Ram and Sita appear for an interview for two different posts. The probabilities of their selection are 3/4 and 1/5 respectively. Find the probability that (a) both of them will be selected (b) none of them will be selected.

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Define events and probabilities Let:

    • P(R)=34    P(R)=134=14P(R) = \frac{3}{4} \implies P(R') = 1 - \frac{3}{4} = \frac{1}{4} (Probability Ram is not selected)
    • P(S)=15    P(S)=115=45P(S) = \frac{1}{5} \implies P(S') = 1 - \frac{1}{5} = \frac{4}{5} (Probability Sita is not selected)

    Since the interviews are for two different posts, events RR and SS are statistically independent.


    Part (a): Probability both will be selected

    P(RS)=P(R)×P(S)=34×15=320=0.15P(R \cap S) = P(R) \times P(S) = \frac{3}{4} \times \frac{1}{5} = \frac{3}{20} = \mathbf{0.15}


    Part (b): Probability none of them will be selected

    P(RS)=P(R)×P(S)=14×45=15=0.20P(R' \cap S') = P(R') \times P(S') = \frac{1}{4} \times \frac{4}{5} = \frac{1}{5} = \mathbf{0.20}

  5. The year of origin of the following trend line equation of sales (in millions rupees) is 2015. Y = 50 + 2.5X Estimate the sales for the year 2022.

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Identify given equation and parameters

    • Trend equation: Y=50+2.5XY = 50 + 2.5X (Sales in million Rs.)
    • Origin: Year 20152015 (X=0X = 0 in 2015, unit of X=1X = 1 year)

    Step 2: Find XX for the year 2022

    X=20222015=7X = 2022 - 2015 = 7

    Step 3: Estimate Sales (YY)

    Y=50+2.5(7)=50+17.5=67.5Y = 50 + 2.5(7) = 50 + 17.5 = 67.5

    Conclusion: The estimated sales for the year 2022 is Rs. 67.5 million (Rs. 67,500,000).

  6. The following table shows the monthly income of workers of two manufacturing companies A and B

    The following table shows the monthly income of

    workers of two manufacturing Companines A and B

    Company A Company B

    Mean -monthly income Rs 2550 Rs .2800

    Numbers of workers 100 110

    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Identify given values

    • Company A: N1=100,Xˉ1=Rs. 2,550N_1 = 100, \quad \bar{X}_1 = \text{Rs. } 2,550
    • Company B: N2=110,Xˉ2=Rs. 2,800N_2 = 110, \quad \bar{X}_2 = \text{Rs. } 2,800

    Step 2: Formula for combined arithmetic mean

    Xˉ12=N1Xˉ1+N2Xˉ2N1+N2\bar{X}_{12} = \frac{N_1\bar{X}_1 + N_2\bar{X}_2}{N_1 + N_2}

    Step 3: Calculation

    Xˉ12=100(2,550)+110(2,800)100+110=255,000+308,000210=563,0002102680.95\bar{X}_{12} = \frac{100(2,550) + 110(2,800)}{100 + 110} = \frac{255,000 + 308,000}{210} = \frac{563,000}{210} \approx \mathbf{2680.95}

    Conclusion: The combined mean monthly income of workers across both companies is Rs. 2,680.95.

  7. Find simple aggregative price index number for the year 2021 from the following information.

    Commodites A B C D E F
    Price in 2020(Rs.) 160 140 150 130 155 120
    Price in 2021(Rs.) 170 135 155 140 150 30
    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Calculate total prices for Base Year (2020) and Current Year (2021)

    • Base year prices:
      P0=160+140+150+130+155+120=855\sum P_0 = 160 + 140 + 150 + 130 + 155 + 120 = 855
    • Current year prices:
      P1=170+135+155+140+150+30=780\sum P_1 = 170 + 135 + 155 + 140 + 150 + 30 = 780

    Step 2: Formula for Simple Aggregative Price Index

    P01=P1P0×100P_{01} = \frac{\sum P_1}{\sum P_0} \times 100

    Step 3: Calculation

    P01=780855×10091.23P_{01} = \frac{780}{855} \times 100 \approx \mathbf{91.23}

    Conclusion: The simple aggregative price index number for 2021 is 91.23, indicating an overall price decline of 8.77% (10091.23100 - 91.23) relative to 2020.

  8. Find 7(A+B) where A=

    1 2 5
    2 1 3
    3 3 2

    and B =

    3 1 5
    2 5 1
    1 3 2
    [2]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Compute matrix sum (A+B)(A + B)

    A+B=[1+32+15+52+21+53+13+13+32+2]=[4310464464]A + B = \begin{bmatrix} 1+3 & 2+1 & 5+5 \\ 2+2 & 1+5 & 3+1 \\ 3+1 & 3+3 & 2+2 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 4 & 3 & 10 \\ 4 & 6 & 4 \\ 4 & 6 & 4 \end{bmatrix}

    Step 2: Scalar multiplication by 7

    7(A+B)=7[4310464464]=[7(4)7(3)7(10)7(4)7(6)7(4)7(4)7(6)7(4)]=[282170284228284228]7(A + B) = 7 \begin{bmatrix} 4 & 3 & 10 \\ 4 & 6 & 4 \\ 4 & 6 & 4 \end{bmatrix} = \begin{bmatrix} 7(4) & 7(3) & 7(10) \\ 7(4) & 7(6) & 7(4) \\ 7(4) & 7(6) & 7(4) \end{bmatrix} = \mathbf{\begin{bmatrix} 28 & 21 & 70 \\ 28 & 42 & 28 \\ 28 & 42 & 28 \end{bmatrix}}

  9. Find the value of determinant of following matrix:

    1 2 3
    2 5 1
    9 3 2
    [2]
    View model solution

    Let the determinant be:

    A=123251932|A| = \begin{vmatrix} 1 & 2 & 3 \\ 2 & 5 & 1 \\ 9 & 3 & 2 \end{vmatrix}

    Expansion along Row 1 (R1R_1):

    A=1513222192+32593|A| = 1 \begin{vmatrix} 5 & 1 \\ 3 & 2 \end{vmatrix} - 2 \begin{vmatrix} 2 & 1 \\ 9 & 2 \end{vmatrix} + 3 \begin{vmatrix} 2 & 5 \\ 9 & 3 \end{vmatrix}

    Evaluate 2×22 \times 2 determinants:

    1. 1×[(5×2)(1×3)]=1×[103]=1×7=71 \times [(5 \times 2) - (1 \times 3)] = 1 \times [10 - 3] = 1 \times 7 = 7
    2. 2×[(2×2)(1×9)]=2×[49]=2×(5)=+10-2 \times [(2 \times 2) - (1 \times 9)] = -2 \times [4 - 9] = -2 \times (-5) = +10
    3. +3×[(2×3)(5×9)]=3×[645]=3×(39)=117+3 \times [(2 \times 3) - (5 \times 9)] = 3 \times [6 - 45] = 3 \times (-39) = -117

    Summing the terms:

    A=7+10117=100|A| = 7 + 10 - 117 = \mathbf{-100}

    Conclusion: The value of the determinant is -100.

  10. What is chronological classification? Give an example.

    [2]
    View model solution

    Definition: Chronological (or Temporal) Classification is the systematic arrangement and categorization of statistical data according to the time of occurrence, such as years, quarters, months, weeks, or days. It displays how a variable evolves or fluctuates across time periods.

    Example: Annual Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows into Nepal:

    Year FDI Inflow (in Billion NPR)
    2020 18.5
    2021 19.8
    2022 17.2
    2023 21.4

Section B

Attempt any Five questions

[5*10=50]
  1. The marks distribution of 100 students of a College is as follows:

    Marks 10 - 20 20 - 30 30 - 40 40 - 50 50 - 60 60 - 70 70 - 80
    No.of students 8 16 25 22 15 9 5

    Determine the limits of marks of middle 80% of the students .

    [10]
    View model solution

    Analytical Interpretation:

    The middle 80% of students lies symmetrically between the lower 10% and the upper 10% of the distribution. Therefore, we must find:

    1. Lower Limit: 10th10^{\text{th}} Percentile (P10P_{10})
    2. Upper Limit: 90th90^{\text{th}} Percentile (P90P_{90})

    Step 1: Cumulative Frequency Table

    Marks Class Frequency (ff) Cumulative Frequency (c.f.c.f.)
    10 - 20 8 8
    20 - 30 16 24
    30 - 40 25 49
    40 - 50 22 71
    50 - 60 15 86
    60 - 70 9 95
    70 - 80 5 100
    Total N=100N = \mathbf{100}

    Step 2: Calculate Lower Limit (P10P_{10})

    • Position of P10=10×N100=10×100100=10thP_{10} = \frac{10 \times N}{100} = \frac{10 \times 100}{100} = 10^{\text{th}} item.
    • Looking at the c.f.c.f. column, the 10th10^{\text{th}} item falls in class 20 - 30.
      • L=20,c.f.=8,f=16,h=10L = 20, \quad c.f. = 8, \quad f = 16, \quad h = 10P10=L+(10N100c.f.f)×hP_{10} = L + \left(\frac{\frac{10N}{100} - c.f.}{f}\right) \times h$
        P10=20+(10816)×10=20+2016=20+1.25=21.25P_{10} = 20 + \left(\frac{10 - 8}{16}\right) \times 10 = 20 + \frac{20}{16} = 20 + 1.25 = \mathbf{21.25}

    Step 3: Calculate Upper Limit (P90P_{90})

    • Position of P90=90×N100=90×100100=90thP_{90} = \frac{90 \times N}{100} = \frac{90 \times 100}{100} = 90^{\text{th}} item.
    • Looking at the c.f.c.f. column, the 90th90^{\text{th}} item falls in class 60 - 70.
      • L=60,c.f.=86,f=9,h=10L = 60, \quad c.f. = 86, \quad f = 9, \quad h = 10P90=L+(90N100c.f.f)×hP_{90} = L + \left(\frac{\frac{90N}{100} - c.f.}{f}\right) \times h$
        P90=60+(90869)×10=60+409=60+4.44=64.44P_{90} = 60 + \left(\frac{90 - 86}{9}\right) \times 10 = 60 + \frac{40}{9} = 60 + 4.44 = \mathbf{64.44}

    Conclusion:

    The limits of marks obtained by the middle 80% of the students are 21.25 marks to 64.44 marks.

  2. An enquiry into the budget of middle class families in a certain locality of a city gave the following information:

    Expenses on Food Rent Clothing Fuel Misc
    30% 15% 20% 10% 25%
    Price in 2021(Rs.) 160 60 110 30 80
    Price in 2022(Rs.) 184 70 135 55 100

    What is the cost of living index number of 2022 as compared to 2021? If an Employee’s monthly salary is Rs. 40,500 in base period what should be his/her salary in current period ?

    [5]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Set up the Cost of Living Index (Family Budget Method)

    Let:

    • Base year (2021) price =P0= P_0
    • Current year (2022) price =P1= P_1
    • Weight (percentage expense) =W= W
    • Price Relative I=P1P0×100I = \frac{P_1}{P_0} \times 100
    Expense Category Weight (WW) P0P_0 (2021) P1P_1 (2022) I=P1P0×100I = \frac{P_1}{P_0} \times 100 I×WI \times W
    Food 30 160 184 184160×100=115.00\frac{184}{160} \times 100 = 115.00 115×30=3450.00115 \times 30 = 3450.00
    Rent 15 60 70 7060×100=116.67\frac{70}{60} \times 100 = 116.67 116.67×15=1750.05116.67 \times 15 = 1750.05
    Clothing 20 110 135 135110×100=122.73\frac{135}{110} \times 100 = 122.73 122.73×20=2454.60122.73 \times 20 = 2454.60
    Fuel 10 30 55 5530×100=183.33\frac{55}{30} \times 100 = 183.33 183.33×10=1833.30183.33 \times 10 = 1833.30
    Miscellaneous 25 80 100 10080×100=125.00\frac{100}{80} \times 100 = 125.00 125×25=3125.00125 \times 25 = 3125.00
    Total W=100\sum W = \mathbf{100} IW=12,612.95\sum IW = \mathbf{12,612.95}

    Step 2: Compute Cost of Living Index Number (CLICLI)

    CLI=IWW=12,612.95100=126.13CLI = \frac{\sum IW}{\sum W} = \frac{12,612.95}{100} = \mathbf{126.13}

    The cost of living in 2022 increased by 26.13% compared to 2021.


    Step 3: Compute Adjusted Salary in Current Period

    To maintain the same standard of living as in the base period:

    Required Salary in Current Period=Base Period Salary×(CLI100)\text{Required Salary in Current Period} = \text{Base Period Salary} \times \left(\frac{CLI}{100}\right)
    Required Salary=40,500×(126.13100)=405×126.13=Rs. 51,082.65\text{Required Salary} = 40,500 \times \left(\frac{126.13}{100}\right) = 405 \times 126.13 = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 51,082.65}

    Conclusion:

    • The Cost of Living Index for 2022 is 126.13.
    • The employee’s monthly salary in the current period should be raised to Rs. 51,083 to maintain their real purchasing power.
  3. Solve the following linear programming problem:

    Minimize Z=2x+3yZ = 2x + 3y Subject to constraints:

    5x+y105x + y \ge 10
    2x+2y122x + 2y \ge 12
    x+4y12x + 4y \ge 12
    and x,y0x, y \ge 0

    [10]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Formulate Boundary Equations for the Constraints

    1. Line 1: 5x+y=105x + y = 10

      • (x=0    y=10)    (0,10)(x=0 \implies y=10) \implies (0, 10)
      • (y=0    x=2)    (2,0)(y=0 \implies x=2) \implies (2, 0)
      • Testing (0,0)(0, 0): 0100 \ge 10 is False (region is away from the origin).
    2. Line 2: 2x+2y=12    x+y=62x + 2y = 12 \iff x + y = 6

      • (x=0    y=6)    (0,6)(x=0 \implies y=6) \implies (0, 6)
      • (y=0    x=6)    (6,0)(y=0 \implies x=6) \implies (6, 0)
      • Testing (0,0)(0, 0): 060 \ge 6 is False (region is away from the origin).
    3. Line 3: x+4y=12x + 4y = 12

      • (x=0    y=3)    (0,3)(x=0 \implies y=3) \implies (0, 3)
      • (y=0    x=12)    (12,0)(y=0 \implies x=12) \implies (12, 0)
      • Testing (0,0)(0, 0): 0120 \ge 12 is False (region is away from the origin).
    4. Non-negativity: x0,y0x \ge 0, y \ge 0 restricts the region to the first quadrant.


    Step 2: Find Intersection Points between Constraints

    1. Intersection of Line 1 (5x+y=105x+y=10) and Line 2 (x+y=6x+y=6): Subtract equations: 4x=4    x=14x = 4 \implies x = 1. Then y=61=5y = 6 - 1 = 5. Point B=(1,5)B = (1, 5). Check Line 3: 1+4(5)=21121 + 4(5) = 21 \ge 12 (Feasible).

    2. Intersection of Line 2 (x+y=6x+y=6) and Line 3 (x+4y=12x+4y=12): Subtract equations: 3y=6    y=23y = 6 \implies y = 2. Then x=62=4x = 6 - 2 = 4. Point C=(4,2)C = (4, 2). Check Line 1: 5(4)+2=22105(4) + 2 = 22 \ge 10 (Feasible).


    Step 3: Identify the Feasible Region Corner Points The feasible region is unbounded above, with extreme boundary vertices:

    • A=(0,10)A = (0, 10) on the Y-axis (since max(10,6,3)=10\max(10, 6, 3) = 10).
    • B=(1,5)B = (1, 5)
    • C=(4,2)C = (4, 2)
    • D=(12,0)D = (12, 0) on the X-axis (since max(2,6,12)=12\max(2, 6, 12) = 12).

    Step 4: Evaluate Objective Function Z=2x+3yZ = 2x + 3y

    Corner Point xx yy Z=2x+3yZ = 2x + 3y
    AA 0 10 2(0)+3(10)=302(0) + 3(10) = 30
    BB 1 5 2(1)+3(5)=2+15=172(1) + 3(5) = 2 + 15 = 17
    CC 4 2 2(4)+3(2)=8+6=142(4) + 3(2) = 8 + 6 = \mathbf{14} (Minimum)
    DD 12 0 2(12)+3(0)=242(12) + 3(0) = 24

    Step 5: Verification for Unbounded Region Since the feasible region is unbounded, we must verify if the open half-plane 2x+3y<142x + 3y < 14 shares any points with the feasible region. Graphing 2x+3y<142x + 3y < 14:

    • At (0,10)(0, 10): 30>1430 > 14
    • At (1,5)(1, 5): 17>1417 > 14
    • At (12,0)(12, 0): 24>1424 > 14 The half-plane 2x+3y<142x + 3y < 14 lies entirely below the boundary and shares no points with the feasible region.

    Conclusion: The minimum cost is Zmin=14Z_{min} = 14, obtained at x=4x = 4 and y=2y = 2.

  4. a) From the given Pay-off table, give the decision according to

    (i) Maximax approach (ii) Maximin approach (iii) Minimax Regret approach.

    State of natures Strategies
    S1 S2 S3
    N1 400 200 700
    N2 100 600 300
    N3 500 300 100

    (b) Two fair dice are rolled at the same time. What is the probability that the two faces turn up to show (i) a sum of 8 or 9 (ii) a sum less than 5?

    [10]
    View model solution

    Part (a): Decision Making Under Uncertainty (5 Marks)

    Given Payoff Matrix:

    States of Nature S1S_1 S2S_2 S3S_3
    N1N_1 400 200 700
    N2N_2 100 600 300
    N3N_3 500 300 100

    Transpose to strategies as rows (actions under control):

    Strategy N1N_1 N2N_2 N3N_3 Strategy Min Strategy Max
    S1S_1 400 100 500 100 500
    S2S_2 200 600 300 200 600
    S3S_3 700 300 100 100 700

    (i) Maximax Approach (Optimistic):

    • Max payoffs: S1=500,S2=600,S3=700S_1 = 500, S_2 = 600, S_3 = 700.
    • max(500,600,700)=700\max(500, 600, 700) = \mathbf{700} for S3S_3.
    • Decision: Select strategy S3S_3.

    (ii) Maximin Approach (Pessimistic):

    • Min payoffs: S1=100,S2=200,S3=100S_1 = 100, S_2 = 200, S_3 = 100.
    • max(100,200,100)=200\max(100, 200, 100) = \mathbf{200} for S2S_2.
    • Decision: Select strategy S2S_2.

    (iii) Minimax Regret Approach:

    Find maximum payoff in each state of nature:

    • Max for N1=700N_1 = 700, Max for N2=600N_2 = 600, Max for N3=500N_3 = 500.

    Regret Table (Regret=Column MaxPayoff)(\text{Regret} = \text{Column Max} - \text{Payoff}):

    Strategy N1N_1 N2N_2 N3N_3 Maximum Regret
    S1S_1 700400=300700-400=300 600100=500600-100=500 500500=0500-500=0 500
    S2S_2 700200=500700-200=500 600600=0600-600=0 500300=200500-300=200 500
    S3S_3 700700=0700-700=0 600300=300600-300=300 500100=400500-100=400 400
    • min(500,500,400)=400\min(500, 500, 400) = \mathbf{400} for S3S_3.
    • Decision: Select strategy S3S_3.

    Part (b): Dice Probability Problem (5 Marks)

    Total possible outcomes when two fair dice are rolled: n(S)=6×6=36n(S) = 6 \times 6 = 36.

    (i) Probability of getting a sum of 8 or 9:

    • Outcomes for Sum = 8: (2,6),(3,5),(4,4),(5,3),(6,2)    5(2,6), (3,5), (4,4), (5,3), (6,2) \implies 5 outcomes.
    • Outcomes for Sum = 9: (3,6),(4,5),(5,4),(6,3)    4(3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3) \implies 4 outcomes.
    • Total favorable outcomes =5+4=9= 5 + 4 = 9.
      P(Sum is 8 or 9)=936=14=0.25P(\text{Sum is 8 or 9}) = \frac{9}{36} = \frac{1}{4} = \mathbf{0.25}

    (ii) Probability of getting a sum less than 5:

    • Sum can be 2, 3, or 4:
      • Sum = 2: (1,1)    1(1, 1) \implies 1 outcome
      • Sum = 3: (1,2),(2,1)    2(1, 2), (2, 1) \implies 2 outcomes
      • Sum = 4: (1,3),(2,2),(3,1)    3(1, 3), (2, 2), (3, 1) \implies 3 outcomes
    • Total favorable outcomes =1+2+3=6= 1 + 2 + 3 = 6.
      P(Sum <5)=636=160.1667P(\text{Sum } < 5) = \frac{6}{36} = \frac{1}{6} \approx \mathbf{0.1667}
  5. The following table reveals the sales distribution of a business house from the year 2016 to 2020:

    Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
    Sales (in '000 Rs) 50 51 60 75 100

    Fit a trend line equation of given data. Calculate trend values and estimate sales of the year 2024.

    [10]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Set up the Least Squares Calculation Table

    Number of years n=5n = 5 (odd). Let middle year 20182018 be the origin (A=2018A = 2018). Step deviation X=Year2018X = \text{Year} - 2018, so X=0\sum X = 0.

    Year Sales YY (in '000 Rs) X=Year2018X = \text{Year} - 2018 X2X^2 XYXY Trend Values (Yc=67.2+12.4XY_c = 67.2 + 12.4X)
    2016 50 -2 4 -100 67.2+12.4(2)=42.467.2 + 12.4(-2) = \mathbf{42.4}
    2017 51 -1 1 -51 67.2+12.4(1)=54.867.2 + 12.4(-1) = \mathbf{54.8}
    2018 60 0 0 0 67.2+12.4(0)=67.267.2 + 12.4(0) = \mathbf{67.2}
    2019 75 1 1 75 67.2+12.4(1)=79.667.2 + 12.4(1) = \mathbf{79.6}
    2020 100 2 4 200 67.2+12.4(2)=92.067.2 + 12.4(2) = \mathbf{92.0}
    Total Y=336\sum Y = \mathbf{336} X=0\sum X = \mathbf{0} X2=10\sum X^2 = \mathbf{10} XY=124\sum XY = \mathbf{124} Yc=336.0\sum Y_c = \mathbf{336.0}

    Step 2: Fit the Straight Line Trend Equation

    Linear trend equation:

    Yc=a+bXY_c = a + bX
    Since X=0\sum X = 0:
    a=Yn=3365=67.2a = \frac{\sum Y}{n} = \frac{336}{5} = \mathbf{67.2}
    b=XYX2=12410=12.4b = \frac{\sum XY}{\sum X^2} = \frac{124}{10} = \mathbf{12.4}

    The fitted trend line equation is:

    Yc=67.2+12.4X(Origin: 2018, X in 1-year units, Y in ’000 Rs.)Y_c = 67.2 + 12.4X \quad (\text{Origin: 2018, } X \text{ in 1-year units, } Y \text{ in '000 Rs.})


    Step 3: Estimate Sales for the Year 2024

    For Year 20242024:

    X=20242018=6X = 2024 - 2018 = 6
    Y2024=67.2+12.4(6)=67.2+74.4=141.6Y_{2024} = 67.2 + 12.4(6) = 67.2 + 74.4 = \mathbf{141.6}

    Conclusion:

    • The fitted trend equation is Yc=67.2+12.4XY_c = 67.2 + 12.4X.
    • Estimated sales for 2024 is Rs. 141,600 (141.6×1,000141.6 \times 1,000).
  6. Solve the following system of linear equations by using determinant or matrix method:

    2xy+2z=12x - y + 2z = -1
    x2y+3z=4x - 2y + 3z = 4
    4x+y+z=44x + y + z = 4
    [10]
    View model solution

    We solve the system using Cramer’s Rule (Determinant Method).

    Step 1: Compute Coefficient Determinant (DD)

    D=212123411D = \begin{vmatrix} 2 & -1 & 2 \\ 1 & -2 & 3 \\ 4 & 1 & 1 \end{vmatrix}

    Expanding along Row 1 (R1R_1):

    D=22311(1)1341+21241D = 2 \begin{vmatrix} -2 & 3 \\ 1 & 1 \end{vmatrix} - (-1) \begin{vmatrix} 1 & 3 \\ 4 & 1 \end{vmatrix} + 2 \begin{vmatrix} 1 & -2 \\ 4 & 1 \end{vmatrix}
    D=2(23)+1(112)+2(1(8))D = 2(-2 - 3) + 1(1 - 12) + 2(1 - (-8))
    D=2(5)+1(11)+2(9)=1011+18=3D = 2(-5) + 1(-11) + 2(9) = -10 - 11 + 18 = \mathbf{-3}
    Since D=30D = -3 \ne 0, a unique solution exists.


    Step 2: Calculate DxD_x (replace 1st column with constant terms [1,4,4]T[-1, 4, 4]^T)

    Dx=112423411D_x = \begin{vmatrix} -1 & -1 & 2 \\ 4 & -2 & 3 \\ 4 & 1 & 1 \end{vmatrix}
    Expanding along Row 1:
    Dx=1(23)(1)(412)+2(4(8))D_x = -1(-2 - 3) - (-1)(4 - 12) + 2(4 - (-8))
    Dx=1(5)+1(8)+2(12)=58+24=21D_x = -1(-5) + 1(-8) + 2(12) = 5 - 8 + 24 = \mathbf{21}


    Step 3: Calculate DyD_y (replace 2nd column with [1,4,4]T[-1, 4, 4]^T)

    Dy=212143441D_y = \begin{vmatrix} 2 & -1 & 2 \\ 1 & 4 & 3 \\ 4 & 4 & 1 \end{vmatrix}
    Expanding along Row 1:
    Dy=2(412)(1)(112)+2(416)D_y = 2(4 - 12) - (-1)(1 - 12) + 2(4 - 16)
    Dy=2(8)+1(11)+2(12)=161124=51D_y = 2(-8) + 1(-11) + 2(-12) = -16 - 11 - 24 = \mathbf{-51}


    Step 4: Calculate DzD_z (replace 3rd column with [1,4,4]T[-1, 4, 4]^T)

    Dz=211124414D_z = \begin{vmatrix} 2 & -1 & -1 \\ 1 & -2 & 4 \\ 4 & 1 & 4 \end{vmatrix}
    Expanding along Row 1:
    Dz=2(84)(1)(416)+(1)(1(8))D_z = 2(-8 - 4) - (-1)(4 - 16) + (-1)(1 - (-8))
    Dz=2(12)+1(12)1(9)=24129=45D_z = 2(-12) + 1(-12) - 1(9) = -24 - 12 - 9 = \mathbf{-45}


    Step 5: Apply Cramer’s Rule

    x=DxD=213=7x = \frac{D_x}{D} = \frac{21}{-3} = \mathbf{-7}
    y=DyD=513=17y = \frac{D_y}{D} = \frac{-51}{-3} = \mathbf{17}
    z=DzD=453=15z = \frac{D_z}{D} = \frac{-45}{-3} = \mathbf{15}


    Verification: Substitute into equation 1: 2(7)17+2(15)=1417+30=31+30=12(-7) - 17 + 2(15) = -14 - 17 + 30 = -31 + 30 = -1 (Matches). Substitute into equation 3: 4(7)+17+15=28+32=44(-7) + 17 + 15 = -28 + 32 = 4 (Matches).

Section C

Attempt any Two questions .

[2*15=30]
  1. A factory produces two types of electric lamps A and B. In an experiment relating to their life, the following results were obtained:

    Life (in years ) Number of Motors
    Model A Model B
    0 - 2 5 4
    2 - 4 11 30
    4 - 6 26 12
    6 - 8 10 8
    8 - 10 8 6

    (a) Find which model of electrical lamp has greater uniformatily of life ? Give the reason

    (b) Calculate the combined standard deviation

    [15]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Calculation Table

    Mid-values mm: 1,3,5,7,91, 3, 5, 7, 9. Let assumed mean A=5A = 5, class width h=2h = 2. Step deviation d=m52=2,1,0,1,2d = \frac{m - 5}{2} = -2, -1, 0, 1, 2.

    Life (years) mm dd fAf_A fAdf_A d fAd2f_A d^2 fBf_B fBdf_B d fBd2f_B d^2
    0 - 2 1 -2 5 -10 20 4 -8 16
    2 - 4 3 -1 11 -11 11 30 -30 30
    4 - 6 5 0 26 0 0 12 0 0
    6 - 8 7 1 10 10 10 8 8 8
    8 - 10 9 2 8 16 32 6 12 24
    Total NA=60N_A = \mathbf{60} fAd=5\sum f_A d = \mathbf{5} fAd2=73\sum f_A d^2 = \mathbf{73} NB=60N_B = \mathbf{60} fBd=18\sum f_B d = \mathbf{-18} fBd2=78\sum f_B d^2 = \mathbf{78}

    Step 2: Statistical Measures for Model A

    • Mean (XˉA\bar{X}_A):

      XˉA=A+(fAdNA)h=5+(560)2=5+1060=5+0.167=5.167 years\bar{X}_A = A + \left(\frac{\sum f_A d}{N_A}\right) h = 5 + \left(\frac{5}{60}\right) 2 = 5 + \frac{10}{60} = 5 + 0.167 = \mathbf{5.167} \text{ years}

    • Standard Deviation (σA\sigma_A):

      σA=h×fAd2NA(fAdNA)2=2×7360(560)2\sigma_A = h \times \sqrt{\frac{\sum f_A d^2}{N_A} - \left(\frac{\sum f_A d}{N_A}\right)^2} = 2 \times \sqrt{\frac{73}{60} - \left(\frac{5}{60}\right)^2}
      σA=2×1.21670.0069=2×1.2098=2×1.0999=2.20 years\sigma_A = 2 \times \sqrt{1.2167 - 0.0069} = 2 \times \sqrt{1.2098} = 2 \times 1.0999 = \mathbf{2.20} \text{ years}

    • Coefficient of Variation (C.V.AC.V._A):

      C.V.A=σAXˉA×100=2.205.167×100=42.58%C.V._A = \frac{\sigma_A}{\bar{X}_A} \times 100 = \frac{2.20}{5.167} \times 100 = \mathbf{42.58\%}


    Step 3: Statistical Measures for Model B

    • Mean (XˉB\bar{X}_B):

      XˉB=A+(fBdNB)h=5+(1860)2=50.6=4.40 years\bar{X}_B = A + \left(\frac{\sum f_B d}{N_B}\right) h = 5 + \left(\frac{-18}{60}\right) 2 = 5 - 0.6 = \mathbf{4.40} \text{ years}

    • Standard Deviation (σB\sigma_B):

      σB=h×fBd2NB(fBdNB)2=2×7860(1860)2\sigma_B = h \times \sqrt{\frac{\sum f_B d^2}{N_B} - \left(\frac{\sum f_B d}{N_B}\right)^2} = 2 \times \sqrt{\frac{78}{60} - \left(\frac{-18}{60}\right)^2}
      σB=2×1.300.09=2×1.21=2×1.10=2.20 years\sigma_B = 2 \times \sqrt{1.30 - 0.09} = 2 \times \sqrt{1.21} = 2 \times 1.10 = \mathbf{2.20} \text{ years}

    • Coefficient of Variation (C.V.BC.V._B):

      C.V.B=σBXˉB×100=2.204.40×100=50.00%C.V._B = \frac{\sigma_B}{\bar{X}_B} \times 100 = \frac{2.20}{4.40} \times 100 = \mathbf{50.00\%}


    Part (a): Uniformity Comparison

    • C.V.A=42.58%C.V._A = 42.58\%
    • C.V.B=50.00%C.V._B = 50.00\%

    Reasoning: Since C.V.A<C.V.BC.V._A < C.V._B, Model A has a smaller relative variation in life. Therefore, Model A has greater uniformity of life.


    Part (b): Combined Standard Deviation (σ12\sigma_{12})

    1. Combined Mean (Xˉ12\bar{X}_{12}):

      Xˉ12=NAXˉA+NBXˉBNA+NB=60(5.167)+60(4.40)60+60=310.02+264120=574.02120=4.7835 years\bar{X}_{12} = \frac{N_A \bar{X}_A + N_B \bar{X}_B}{N_A + N_B} = \frac{60(5.167) + 60(4.40)}{60 + 60} = \frac{310.02 + 264}{120} = \frac{574.02}{120} = \mathbf{4.7835} \text{ years}

    2. Deviations from Combined Mean:

      • dA=XˉAXˉ12=5.1674.7835=+0.3835    dA2=0.1471d_A = \bar{X}_A - \bar{X}_{12} = 5.167 - 4.7835 = +0.3835 \implies d_A^2 = 0.1471
      • dB=XˉBXˉ12=4.404.7835=0.3835    dB2=0.1471d_B = \bar{X}_B - \bar{X}_{12} = 4.40 - 4.7835 = -0.3835 \implies d_B^2 = 0.1471
    3. Combined Variance Formula:

      σ12=NA(σA2+dA2)+NB(σB2+dB2)NA+NB\sigma_{12} = \sqrt{\frac{N_A(\sigma_A^2 + d_A^2) + N_B(\sigma_B^2 + d_B^2)}{N_A + N_B}}
      σ12=60(2.202+0.1471)+60(2.202+0.1471)120=4.84+0.1471=4.9871=2.233 years\sigma_{12} = \sqrt{\frac{60(2.20^2 + 0.1471) + 60(2.20^2 + 0.1471)}{120}} = \sqrt{4.84 + 0.1471} = \sqrt{4.9871} = \mathbf{2.233} \text{ years}

    Conclusion: The combined standard deviation of both models is 2.233 years.

  2. The following data shows the income distribution of families of a certain locality of a city. Calculate the coefficient of skewness and kurtosis and hence comment on the nature of the income distribution.

    Income ( in millions Rs) Number of Families
    10 - 20 5
    20 - 30 9
    30 - 40 18
    40 - 50 26
    50 - 60 20
    60 - 70 12
    70 - 80 7
    80 - 90 3
    [15]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Set up the Calculation Table

    Mid-values mm: 15,25,35,45,55,65,75,8515, 25, 35, 45, 55, 65, 75, 85. Let assumed mean A=45A = 45, class width h=10h = 10. Step deviation d=m4510=3,2,1,0,1,2,3,4d = \frac{m - 45}{10} = -3, -2, -1, 0, 1, 2, 3, 4.

    Class Mid-point (mm) ff dd fdfd fd2fd^2 c.f.c.f.
    10 - 20 15 5 -3 -15 45 5
    20 - 30 25 9 -2 -18 36 14
    30 - 40 35 18 -1 -18 18 32
    40 - 50 45 26 0 0 0 58
    50 - 60 55 20 1 20 20 78
    60 - 70 65 12 2 24 48 90
    70 - 80 75 7 3 21 63 97
    80 - 90 85 3 4 12 48 100
    Total N=100N = \mathbf{100} fd=26\sum fd = \mathbf{26} fd2=278\sum fd^2 = \mathbf{278}

    Step 2: Calculate Mean, Mode, and Standard Deviation

    1. Mean (Xˉ\bar{X}):

      Xˉ=A+(fdN)h=45+(26100)10=45+2.6=47.60 million Rs.\bar{X} = A + \left(\frac{\sum fd}{N}\right) h = 45 + \left(\frac{26}{100}\right) 10 = 45 + 2.6 = \mathbf{47.60} \text{ million Rs.}

    2. Mode (MoM_o): Highest frequency f1=26f_1 = 26 lies in modal class 40 - 50.

      • L=40,f1=26,f0=18,f2=20,h=10L = 40, \quad f_1 = 26, \quad f_0 = 18, \quad f_2 = 20, \quad h = 10Mo=L+(f1f02f1f0f2)h=40+(26182(26)1820)10M_o = L + \left(\frac{f_1 - f_0}{2f_1 - f_0 - f_2}\right) h = 40 + \left(\frac{26 - 18}{2(26) - 18 - 20}\right) 10$
        Mo=40+(85238)10=40+8014=40+5.71=45.71 million Rs.M_o = 40 + \left(\frac{8}{52 - 38}\right) 10 = 40 + \frac{80}{14} = 40 + 5.71 = \mathbf{45.71} \text{ million Rs.}
    3. Standard Deviation (σ\sigma):

      σ=h×fd2N(fdN)2=10×278100(0.26)2\sigma = h \times \sqrt{\frac{\sum fd^2}{N} - \left(\frac{\sum fd}{N}\right)^2} = 10 \times \sqrt{\frac{278}{100} - (0.26)^2}
      σ=10×2.780.0676=10×2.7124=10×1.6469=16.47 million Rs.\sigma = 10 \times \sqrt{2.78 - 0.0676} = 10 \times \sqrt{2.7124} = 10 \times 1.6469 = \mathbf{16.47} \text{ million Rs.}


    Step 3: Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness (SkS_k)

    Sk=XˉMoσ=47.6045.7116.47=1.8916.47=+0.115S_k = \frac{\bar{X} - M_o}{\sigma} = \frac{47.60 - 45.71}{16.47} = \frac{1.89}{16.47} = \mathbf{+0.115}

    Step 4: Percentile Coefficient of Kurtosis (κ\kappa)

    κ=Q.D.P90P10=0.5(Q3Q1)P90P10\kappa = \frac{Q.D.}{P_{90} - P_{10}} = \frac{0.5(Q_3 - Q_1)}{P_{90} - P_{10}}
    1. Q1Q_1 (25th25^{\text{th}} item): Falls in class 30 - 40 (c.f.=32,L=30,f=18,prec c.f.=14c.f.=32, L=30, f=18, \text{prec } c.f.=14).

      Q1=30+(251418)10=30+11018=30+6.11=36.11Q_1 = 30 + \left(\frac{25 - 14}{18}\right) 10 = 30 + \frac{110}{18} = 30 + 6.11 = \mathbf{36.11}

    2. Q3Q_3 (75th75^{\text{th}} item): Falls in class 50 - 60 (c.f.=78,L=50,f=20,prec c.f.=58c.f.=78, L=50, f=20, \text{prec } c.f.=58).

      Q3=50+(755820)10=50+17020=50+8.50=58.50Q_3 = 50 + \left(\frac{75 - 58}{20}\right) 10 = 50 + \frac{170}{20} = 50 + 8.50 = \mathbf{58.50}
      Q.D.=58.5036.112=22.392=11.195Q.D. = \frac{58.50 - 36.11}{2} = \frac{22.39}{2} = \mathbf{11.195}

    3. P10P_{10} (10th10^{\text{th}} item): Falls in class 20 - 30 (c.f.=14,L=20,f=9,prec c.f.=5c.f.=14, L=20, f=9, \text{prec } c.f.=5).

      P10=20+(1059)10=20+5.56=25.56P_{10} = 20 + \left(\frac{10 - 5}{9}\right) 10 = 20 + 5.56 = \mathbf{25.56}

    4. P90P_{90} (90th90^{\text{th}} item): Falls in class 60 - 70 (c.f.=90,L=60,f=12,prec c.f.=78c.f.=90, L=60, f=12, \text{prec } c.f.=78).

      P90=60+(907812)10=60+10.00=70.00P_{90} = 60 + \left(\frac{90 - 78}{12}\right) 10 = 60 + 10.00 = \mathbf{70.00}

    5. Coefficient of Kurtosis (κ\kappa):

      κ=11.19570.0025.56=11.19544.44=0.252\kappa = \frac{11.195}{70.00 - 25.56} = \frac{11.195}{44.44} = \mathbf{0.252}


    Comments on the Nature of Income Distribution:

    1. Skewness (Sk=+0.115S_k = +0.115): The distribution is slightly positively skewed, indicating that the tail stretches slightly toward higher income levels, with a majority of families earning below the mean income of Rs. 47.60 million.
    2. Kurtosis (κ=0.252\kappa = 0.252): Since κ=0.252<0.263\kappa = 0.252 < 0.263, the distribution is platykurtic, meaning it has a broader, flatter peak than a standard bell-shaped normal curve.
  3. The following two way table shows the sales revenue (in lakhs Rs.) and advertising expenditure (in lakhs Rs.) of a company. Find correlation coefficient between them and interpret the result. Also test the significance of correlation coefficient. Estimate the sales revenue when advertising expenditure is Rs. 50 lakhs

    Sales Revenue ( in Lakh Rs) Advertising Expenditure (in Lakhs Rs)
    5 -15 15 - 25 25 - 35 35 -45 Total
    75 -125 3 4 4 8 19
    125 -175 8 6 5 7 26
    175 - 225 2 2 3 4 11
    225 - 275 3 3 2 2 10
    Total 16 15 14 21 66
    [15]
    View model solution

    Step 1: Variable Definition and Step Deviation Coding

    Let:

    • X=X = Advertising Expenditure (in Lakhs Rs.): Mid-points 10,20,30,4010, 20, 30, 40.
      • Let assumed mean Ax=20A_x = 20, class interval hx=10h_x = 10.
      • u=X2010=1,0,1,2u = \frac{X - 20}{10} = -1, 0, 1, 2.
    • Y=Y = Sales Revenue (in Lakhs Rs.): Mid-points 100,150,200,250100, 150, 200, 250.
      • Let assumed mean Ay=150A_y = 150, class interval hy=50h_y = 50.
      • v=Y15050=1,0,1,2v = \frac{Y - 150}{50} = -1, 0, 1, 2.

    Step 2: Bivariate Calculation Table

    Y\XY \backslash X u=1u = -1 (10) u=0u = 0 (20) u=1u = 1 (30) u=2u = 2 (40) fyf_y vv fyvf_y v fyv2f_y v^2 fuv\sum fuv
    v=1v = -1 (100) 3 [fuv = 3] 4 [0] 4 [fuv = -4] 8 [fuv = -16] 19 -1 -19 19 -17
    v=0v = 0 (150) 8 [0] 6 [0] 5 [0] 7 [0] 26 0 0 0 0
    v=1v = 1 (200) 2 [fuv = -2] 2 [0] 3 [fuv = 3] 4 [fuv = 8] 11 1 11 11 9
    v=2v = 2 (250) 3 [fuv = -6] 3 [0] 2 [fuv = 4] 2 [fuv = 8] 10 2 20 40 6
    fxf_x 16 15 14 21 N=66N = 66 fyv=12\sum f_y v = 12 fyv2=70\sum f_y v^2 = 70 fuv=2\sum fuv = -2
    uu -1 0 1 2
    fxuf_x u -16 0 14 42 fxu=40\sum f_x u = 40
    fxu2f_x u^2 16 0 14 84 fxu2=114\sum f_x u^2 = 114

    Step 3: Compute Correlation Coefficient (rr)

    • N=66N = 66

    • fxu=40,fxu2=114\sum f_x u = 40, \quad \sum f_x u^2 = 114

    • fyv=12,fyv2=70\sum f_y v = 12, \quad \sum f_y v^2 = 70

    • fuv=2\sum fuv = -2r=Nfuv(fxu)(fyv)[Nfxu2(fxu)2][Nfyv2(fyv)2]r = \frac{N \sum fuv - (\sum f_x u)(\sum f_y v)}{\sqrt{\left[N \sum f_x u^2 - (\sum f_x u)^2\right] \left[N \sum f_y v^2 - (\sum f_y v)^2\right]}}$

    • Numerator:

      66(2)(40)(12)=132480=61266(-2) - (40)(12) = -132 - 480 = -612

    • Denominator:

      [66(114)(40)2][66(70)(12)2]=[7,5241,600][4,620144]=5,924×4,476=26,515,8245149.35\sqrt{[66(114) - (40)^2] [66(70) - (12)^2]} = \sqrt{[7,524 - 1,600] [4,620 - 144]} = \sqrt{5,924 \times 4,476} = \sqrt{26,515,824} \approx 5149.35

    r=6125149.350.1189r = \frac{-612}{5149.35} \approx \mathbf{-0.1189}

    Interpretation: There is a very weak negative correlation (r=0.119r = -0.119) between advertising expenditure and sales revenue in this dataset.


    Step 4: Test of Significance of Correlation Coefficient

    Using Probable Error (P.E.P.E.):

    P.E.(r)=0.6745×1r2N=0.6745×1(0.1189)266=0.6745×10.01418.124=0.6745×0.98598.1240.0818P.E.(r) = 0.6745 \times \frac{1 - r^2}{\sqrt{N}} = 0.6745 \times \frac{1 - (-0.1189)^2}{\sqrt{66}} = 0.6745 \times \frac{1 - 0.0141}{8.124} = 0.6745 \times \frac{0.9859}{8.124} \approx \mathbf{0.0818}

    Decision Rule:

    • If r>6×P.E.|r| > 6 \times P.E., correlation is statistically significant.
    • Here, 6×P.E.=6×0.0818=0.49086 \times P.E. = 6 \times 0.0818 = 0.4908.
    • Since r=0.1189<6×P.E.=0.4908|r| = 0.1189 < 6 \times P.E. = 0.4908, the correlation coefficient is NOT statistically significant.

    Step 5: Estimate Sales Revenue (YY) when Advertising (XX) is Rs. 50 Lakhs

    Compute Means and Regression Coefficient byxb_{yx}:

    Xˉ=Ax+(fxuN)hx=20+(4066)10=20+6.06=Rs. 26.06 lakhs\bar{X} = A_x + \left(\frac{\sum f_x u}{N}\right) h_x = 20 + \left(\frac{40}{66}\right) 10 = 20 + 6.06 = \text{Rs. } 26.06 \text{ lakhs}
    Yˉ=Ay+(fyvN)hy=150+(1266)50=150+9.09=Rs. 159.09 lakhs\bar{Y} = A_y + \left(\frac{\sum f_y v}{N}\right) h_y = 150 + \left(\frac{12}{66}\right) 50 = 150 + 9.09 = \text{Rs. } 159.09 \text{ lakhs}

    Regression coefficient of YY on XX:

    byx=Nfuv(fxu)(fyv)Nfxu2(fxu)2×hyhx=6125924×5010=0.1033×5=0.5165b_{yx} = \frac{N \sum fuv - (\sum f_x u)(\sum f_y v)}{N \sum f_x u^2 - (\sum f_x u)^2} \times \frac{h_y}{h_x} = \frac{-612}{5924} \times \frac{50}{10} = -0.1033 \times 5 = \mathbf{-0.5165}

    Regression equation of YY on XX:

    YYˉ=byx(XXˉ)Y - \bar{Y} = b_{yx}(X - \bar{X})
    Y159.09=0.5165(X26.06)Y - 159.09 = -0.5165(X - 26.06)
    Y=159.090.5165X+13.46=172.550.5165XY = 159.09 - 0.5165X + 13.46 = 172.55 - 0.5165X

    When Advertising X=50X = 50 Lakhs:

    Y=172.550.5165(50)=172.5525.83=146.72 lakhsY = 172.55 - 0.5165(50) = 172.55 - 25.83 = \mathbf{146.72} \text{ lakhs}

    Conclusion: When advertising expenditure is Rs. 50 lakhs, the estimated sales revenue is Rs. 146.72 lakhs (Rs. 14,672,000).