Model paper

Dean's Office Official Model Question Paper

FIN 208 · Financial Markets and Services

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Programme
BBA
Academic year
Semester 6
Paper type
Official Model Question
Sitting
Dean's Office Blueprint
Full marks
60
Duration
180 minutes

Tribhuvan University

Faculty of Management

Office of the Dean

Official Model Question Paper / Dean's Office Blueprint

Course: FIN 208 · Financial Markets and Services

Level: Bachelor of Business Administration (BBA) · Semester 6

Full Marks: 60

Time: 3 hrs.

Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. The figures in the margin indicate full marks.

Group A

Brief Answer Questions. Attempt ALL questions.

[5 × 2 = 10]
  1. Define the Bank Discount Yield (BDY) of a Treasury Bill and write its mathematical formula.

    [2]
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    Answer: Bank Discount Yield (BDY / rbdr_{bd}): An annualized measure of return on a short-term discount instrument (such as a Treasury Bill) that calculates yield as a percentage of the instrument’s face value (par) rather than its actual purchase price, assuming a 360-day commercial year.

    Formula:

    rbd=FPF×360t=DF×360tr_{bd} = \frac{F - P}{F} \times \frac{360}{t} = \frac{D}{F} \times \frac{360}{t}
    Where FF is face value, PP is purchase price, D=FPD = F - P is discount amount, and tt is days to maturity.

  2. Distinguish between a Repurchase Agreement (Repo) and a Reverse Repo in central banking operations.

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    Answer:

    • Repo (Repurchase Agreement): A short-term transaction in which a commercial bank sells government securities to the central bank (Nepal Rastra Bank) with a commitment to repurchase them at an agreed higher price on a specified future date. It serves as a liquidity injection mechanism into the banking system.
    • Reverse Repo: A transaction in which the central bank sells government securities to commercial banks with an agreement to buy them back, serving to absorb excess liquidity from the financial system.
  3. What is the Book Building Method of pricing initial public offerings (IPOs) in the Nepalese capital market?

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    Answer: Book Building Method: A capital market price discovery mechanism authorized by the Securities Board of Nepal (SEBON) where the issuer sets a price band instead of a fixed par value (Rs. 100). Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) submit competitive bids across the band. A mathematical cut-off price is determined based on aggregate demand, and retail individual investors are subsequently allotted shares at a statutory 10% discount to this cut-off price.

  4. Define Net Asset Value (NAV) of a mutual fund and state how it is calculated per unit.

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    Answer: Net Asset Value (NAV): The net rupee worth of a single unit of a mutual fund scheme, representing the fair market value of all underlying investments less accrued scheme liabilities.

    Per-Unit Formula:

    NAV per Unit=Market Value of Portfolio Securities+Cash & ReceivablesAccrued Operating LiabilitiesTotal Number of Scheme Units Outstanding\text{NAV per Unit} = \frac{\text{Market Value of Portfolio Securities} + \text{Cash \& Receivables} - \text{Accrued Operating Liabilities}}{\text{Total Number of Scheme Units Outstanding}}

  5. State the three foundational theories that explain the Term Structure of Interest Rates.

    [2]
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    Answer:

    1. Pure Expectations Theory: Asserts that long-term yields represent an unbiased geometric average of current and expected future short-term interest rates.
    2. Liquidity Preference Theory: Argues that investors prefer short-term liquidity, requiring a positive liquidity risk premium to commit capital to longer maturities, making upward-sloping yield curves standard.
    3. Market Segmentation Theory: Asserts that financial markets are compartmentalized by maturity segments determined by institutional asset-liability requirements (e.g., commercial banks in short-term vs. pension funds in long-term).

Group B

Descriptive Answer Questions. Attempt any THREE questions.

[3 × 10 = 30]
  1. Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) issues a 91-day Government Treasury Bill with a face value of Rs. 100,000. An institutional bidder successfully bids for the bill at a discounted purchase price of Rs. 98,250.

    Required: a) Compute the Bank Discount Yield (rbdr_{bd}). (3 Marks) b) Compute the Investment Yield / Money Market Yield (rmmr_{mm}). (3 Marks) c) Compute the Bond Equivalent Yield (BEY / rbeyr_{bey}) and the Effective Annual Yield (EAY) assuming a 365-day year. Compare and explain why the four yields differ. (4 Marks)

    [10]
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    Solution: Money Market Instruments & Treasury Bill Yields


    Step 1: Identification of Given Parameters

    • Face Value (FF) = Rs. 100,000
    • Purchase Price (PP) = Rs. 98,250
    • Absolute Discount (D=FPD = F - P) = 100,00098,250=Rs. 1,750100,000 - 98,250 = \text{Rs. } 1,750
    • Days to Maturity (tt) = 91 days

    Part (a): Bank Discount Yield (rbdr_{bd}) (3 Marks)

    rbd=DF×360t=1,750100,000×36091=0.017500×3.956044=0.069231=6.923%r_{bd} = \frac{D}{F} \times \frac{360}{t} = \frac{1,750}{100,000} \times \frac{360}{91} = 0.017500 \times 3.956044 = 0.069231 = \mathbf{6.923\%}

    Part (b): Money Market / Investment Yield (rmmr_{mm}) (3 Marks)

    The money market yield calculates return on the actual purchase price (PP) over a 360-day year:

    rmm=DP×360t=1,75098,250×36091=0.0178117×3.956044=0.070464=7.046%r_{mm} = \frac{D}{P} \times \frac{360}{t} = \frac{1,750}{98,250} \times \frac{360}{91} = 0.0178117 \times 3.956044 = 0.070464 = \mathbf{7.046\%}


    Part (c): Bond Equivalent Yield & Effective Annual Yield (4 Marks)

    1. Bond Equivalent Yield (BEY / rbeyr_{bey}):

    BEY annualizes the holding period return using actual capital invested (PP) over a standard 365-day year:

    rbey=DP×365t=1,75098,250×36591=0.0178117×4.010989=0.071443=7.144%r_{bey} = \frac{D}{P} \times \frac{365}{t} = \frac{1,750}{98,250} \times \frac{365}{91} = 0.0178117 \times 4.010989 = 0.071443 = \mathbf{7.144\%}

    2. Effective Annual Yield (EAY):

    EAY accounts for compound interest by reinvesting the proceeds across all sub-periods:

    Holding Period Return (HPR)=DP=1,75098,250=0.0178117\text{Holding Period Return } (HPR) = \frac{D}{P} = \frac{1,750}{98,250} = 0.0178117
    EAY=(1+HPR)365t1=(1+0.0178117)365911=(1.0178117)4.0109891\text{EAY} = (1 + HPR)^{\frac{365}{t}} - 1 = (1 + 0.0178117)^{\frac{365}{91}} - 1 = (1.0178117)^{4.010989} - 1
    EAY=1.0734131=0.073413=7.341%\text{EAY} = 1.073413 - 1 = 0.073413 = \mathbf{7.341\%}

    3. Comparative Yield Summary & Explanation:

    Yield Measure Formula Basis Base Denominator Days per Year Result (%)
    Bank Discount Yield (rbdr_{bd}) Simple Annualized Face Value (FF) 360 6.923%
    Money Market Yield (rmmr_{mm}) Simple Annualized Purchase Price (PP) 360 7.046%
    Bond Equivalent Yield (rbeyr_{bey}) Simple Annualized Purchase Price (PP) 365 7.144%
    Effective Annual Yield (EAY) Compounded Annualized Purchase Price (PP) 365 7.341%
    rbd(6.923%)<rmm(7.046%)<rbey(7.144%)<EAY(7.341%)\mathbf{r_{bd} (6.923\%) < r_{mm} (7.046\%) < r_{bey} (7.144\%) < \text{EAY} (7.341\%)}

    Analytical Rationale:

    • rbdr_{bd} is the lowest because it understates true return by dividing discount by par value (FF) rather than actual cash outlay (PP), and it assumes a 360-day year.
    • rmmr_{mm} corrects the denominator bias by dividing by PP.
    • rbeyr_{bey} corrects the calendar bias by utilizing 365 days.
    • EAY\text{EAY} is highest because it fully reflects the power of quarterly compounding.
  2. An investor purchases 1,000 equity shares of Shikhar Insurance Company Ltd. on margin at Rs. 800 per share.

    • Initial margin requirement (IMIM) = 50%
    • Maintenance margin requirement (MMMM) = 30%
    • The brokerage firm charges an annual interest rate of 10% on margin loans.

    Required: a) Prepare the initial balance sheet of the margin position at Day 0. (2 Marks) b) Calculate the stock price below which the investor will receive a margin call. (3 Marks) c) If the market price of the stock drops to Rs. 500 per share at the end of 6 months:

    1. Compute the accrued debt, total account equity, and actual margin percentage. (2 Marks)
    2. Determine the cash amount required to meet the margin call to restore equity back to the 50% initial margin level. (2 Marks)
    3. Calculate the investor’s rate of return on invested equity over the 6-month holding period. (1 Mark)
    [10]
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    Solution: Secondary Market Operations & Margin Trading


    Part (a): Initial Margin Balance Sheet at Day 0 (2 Marks)

    • Total Market Value of Shares = 1,000 shares×Rs. 800=Rs. 800,0001,000 \text{ shares} \times \text{Rs. } 800 = \text{Rs. } 800,000
    • Investor’s Initial Equity (50%×800,00050\% \times 800,000) = Rs. 400,000
    • Margin Borrowing from Broker (50%×800,00050\% \times 800,000) = Rs. 400,000
    Assets Amount (Rs.) Liabilities & Equity Amount (Rs.)
    1,000 Shares of Shikhar Ins. 800,000.00 Broker Margin Loan 400,000.00
    Investor’s Equity 400,000.00
    Total Assets 800,000.00 Total Liabilities & Equity 800,000.00

    Part (b): Margin Call Trigger Price (PP^*) (3 Marks)

    A margin call is triggered when actual margin equals the maintenance margin (MM=30%MM = 30\%):

    Actual Margin=Total Market ValueLoanTotal Market Value=MM\text{Actual Margin} = \frac{\text{Total Market Value} - \text{Loan}}{\text{Total Market Value}} = MM
    1,000×P400,0001,000×P=0.30\frac{1,000 \times P^* - 400,000}{1,000 \times P^*} = 0.30
    1,000P400,000=300P1,000 P^* - 400,000 = 300 P^*
    700P=400,000    P=400,000700=Rs. 571.43700 P^* = 400,000 \implies P^* = \frac{400,000}{700} = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 571.43}

    Conclusion: If the market price falls below Rs. 571.43, the broker will issue a margin call.


    Part (c): Position Evaluation at P=Rs. 500P = \text{Rs. } 500 After 6 Months (5 Marks)

    1. Accrued Loan, Equity, and Actual Margin:

    • Market Value of Stock = 1,000×500=Rs. 500,0001,000 \times 500 = \text{Rs. } 500,000
    • Accrued Loan Interest (6 months @ 10%) = 400,000×10%×612=Rs. 20,000400,000 \times 10\% \times \frac{6}{12} = \text{Rs. } 20,000
    • Total Broker Debt = 400,000+20,000=Rs. 420,000400,000 + 20,000 = \text{Rs. } 420,000
    • Account Equity = Market ValueTotal Debt=500,000420,000=Rs. 80,000\text{Market Value} - \text{Total Debt} = 500,000 - 420,000 = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 80,000}
    • Actual Margin Percentage:
      Actual Margin=80,000500,000=0.16=16.00%\text{Actual Margin} = \frac{80,000}{500,000} = 0.16 = \mathbf{16.00\%}
      Since 16%<30%16\% < 30\%, a margin call is immediately triggered.

    2. Margin Call Amount to Restore to Initial Margin (50%):

    • Required Equity = 50%×Current Value=0.50×500,000=Rs. 250,00050\% \times \text{Current Value} = 0.50 \times 500,000 = \text{Rs. } 250,000
    • Current Equity = Rs. 80,000
    • Cash Deposit Required:
      Margin Call Deposit=Required EquityCurrent Equity=250,00080,000=Rs. 170,000\text{Margin Call Deposit} = \text{Required Equity} - \text{Current Equity} = 250,000 - 80,000 = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 170,000}

    3. Rate of Return on Invested Capital:

    Rate of Return=Ending EquityInitial EquityInitial Equity=80,000400,000400,000=320,000400,000=80.00%\text{Rate of Return} = \frac{\text{Ending Equity} - \text{Initial Equity}}{\text{Initial Equity}} = \frac{80,000 - 400,000}{400,000} = \frac{-320,000}{400,000} = \mathbf{-80.00\%}

    (While the underlying stock dropped 37.5%, the leveraged investor suffered an 80% loss due to financial leverage and interest costs).

  3. NIBL Growth Fund is a closed-end mutual fund scheme listed on NEPSE. At the end of the fiscal year, the fund holds the following asset portfolio:

    • 50,000 shares of Commercial Bank A (Market price Rs. 400 per share)
    • 30,000 shares of Hydropower Company B (Market price Rs. 600 per share)
    • 20,000 shares of Manufacturing Company C (Market price Rs. 750 per share)
    • Treasury Bills and Cash Balances: Rs. 15,000,000
    • Accrued Fund Management Fees and Operating Liabilities: Rs. 3,000,000
    • Total Number of Fund Units Outstanding: 5,000,000 units
    • Current Secondary Market Price on NEPSE: Rs. 11.50 per unit

    Required: a) Calculate the total value of portfolio assets, net assets, and the Net Asset Value (NAV) per unit. (4 Marks) b) Calculate the discount (or premium) percentage at which the fund is trading relative to its NAV on NEPSE. (2 Marks) c) Over the past 3 years, the fund generated an average annual return of 18% with a standard deviation of 22% and a beta of 1.20. During the same period, the NEPSE index achieved an annual return of 14% with a standard deviation of 18%, and the 91-day T-Bill risk-free rate was 6%. Compute:

    1. Sharpe Ratio
    2. Treynor Ratio
    3. Jensen’s Alpha (α\alpha) Evaluate whether the fund manager delivered superior risk-adjusted performance. (4 Marks)
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    Solution: Mutual Funds Valuation & Performance Attribution


    Part (a): Portfolio Valuation and NAV Computation (4 Marks)

    Portfolio Asset / Liability Quantity Unit Price (Rs.) Total Market Value (Rs.)
    Commercial Bank A Shares 50,000 400.00 20,000,000.00
    Hydropower Company B Shares 30,000 600.00 18,000,000.00
    Manufacturing Company C Shares 20,000 750.00 15,000,000.00
    Treasury Bills & Liquid Cash 15,000,000.00
    Total Scheme Assets (A) 68,000,000.00
    Less: Accrued Liabilities (LL) (3,000,000.00)
    Net Assets of Scheme (NAV Total) Rs. 65,000,000.00
    NAV per Unit=Net AssetsOutstanding Units=Rs. 65,000,0005,000,000 units=Rs. 13.00 per unit\text{NAV per Unit} = \frac{\text{Net Assets}}{\text{Outstanding Units}} = \frac{\text{Rs. } 65,000,000}{5,000,000 \text{ units}} = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 13.00 \text{ per unit}}

    Part (b): Trading Discount / Premium on NEPSE (2 Marks)

    • Market Price (PP) = Rs. 11.50
    • Net Asset Value (NAVNAV) = Rs. 13.00
    Discount / Premium Rate=PNAVNAV×100%=11.5013.0013.00×100%=1.5013.00×100%=11.54%\text{Discount / Premium Rate} = \frac{P - NAV}{NAV} \times 100\% = \frac{11.50 - 13.00}{13.00} \times 100\% = \frac{-1.50}{13.00} \times 100\% = \mathbf{-11.54\%}

    Conclusion: NIBL Growth Fund is trading at a discount of 11.54% relative to its underlying Net Asset Value. Such closed-end fund discounts are common in emerging markets due to illiquidity and management expense drags.


    Part (c): Risk-Adjusted Performance Measures (4 Marks)

    Parameters: Rp=18%,σp=22%,βp=1.20,Rm=14%,σm=18%,Rf=6%R_p = 18\%, \sigma_p = 22\%, \beta_p = 1.20, R_m = 14\%, \sigma_m = 18\%, R_f = 6\%.

    1. Sharpe Ratio (SS):

    Sp=RpRfσp=18622=1222=0.545S_p = \frac{R_p - R_f}{\sigma_p} = \frac{18 - 6}{22} = \frac{12}{22} = \mathbf{0.545}
    Sm=RmRfσm=14618=818=0.444S_m = \frac{R_m - R_f}{\sigma_m} = \frac{14 - 6}{18} = \frac{8}{18} = \mathbf{0.444}

    2. Treynor Ratio (TT):

    Tp=RpRfβp=1861.20=121.20=10.00%T_p = \frac{R_p - R_f}{\beta_p} = \frac{18 - 6}{1.20} = \frac{12}{1.20} = \mathbf{10.00\%}
    Tm=RmRfβm=1461.00=8.00%T_m = \frac{R_m - R_f}{\beta_m} = \frac{14 - 6}{1.00} = \mathbf{8.00\%}

    3. Jensen’s Alpha (α\alpha):

    αp=Rp[Rf+βp(RmRf)]=18%[6%+1.20(14%6%)]\alpha_p = R_p - [R_f + \beta_p(R_m - R_f)] = 18\% - [6\% + 1.20(14\% - 6\%)]
    αp=18%[6%+9.60%]=18%15.60%=+2.40%\alpha_p = 18\% - [6\% + 9.60\%] = 18\% - 15.60\% = \mathbf{+2.40\%}

    4. Managerial Evaluation:

    • Superior Performance: The fund achieved a positive Jensen’s Alpha of +2.40%, outperforming the CAPM benchmark return by 240 basis points.
    • Both the Sharpe Ratio (0.545>0.4440.545 > 0.444) and Treynor Ratio (10.00%>8.00%10.00\% > 8.00\%) surpass the NEPSE benchmark, proving that the fund manager successfully added value after adjusting for both total risk and systematic risk.
  4. Answer the following merchant banking questions:

    a) Explain the five core statutory functions carried out by licensed Merchant Bankers in Nepal under Securities Board of Nepal (SEBON) regulations. (5 Marks) b) Sanima Hydro Ltd. plans to issue 2,000,000 ordinary shares of Rs. 100 each at par value. Three merchant banking institutions form an underwriting syndicate under a firm commitment contract:

    • Merchant Bank X: Underwrites 40% of the issue
    • Merchant Bank Y: Underwrites 35% of the issue
    • Merchant Bank Z: Underwrites 25% of the issue
    • The agreed underwriting commission is 2.5% of the gross issue value.

    In the public offering, subscription applications were received for only 1,400,000 shares.

    Required:

    1. Compute the total underwriting commission earned by each merchant bank.
    2. Determine the number of unsubscribed shares to be absorbed by each underwriter.
    3. Calculate the net cash settlement (cash inflow or outflow) for each merchant bank. (5 Marks)
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    Solution: Merchant Banking Functions & Issue Underwriting


    Part (a): Core Functions of Merchant Bankers in Nepal (5 Marks)

    Under SEBON regulations, merchant bankers perform five essential statutory activities:

    1. Issue Management: Managing initial public offerings (IPOs), rights issues, debenture offerings, and book-building processes—including drafting the prospectus, regulatory liaison with SEBON and ROC, and managing the public subscription.
    2. Underwriting Services: Guaranteeing to purchase and absorb unsubscribed securities in a public offering in exchange for an underwriting commission, eliminating issue failure risk for corporate issuers.
    3. Portfolio Management Services (PMS): Managing customized discretionary and non-discretionary investment portfolios for high-net-worth individuals and institutional clients.
    4. Registrar to Shares (RTS) / Share Transfer Agent: Maintaining the statutory register of shareholders, managing physical-to-demat verification, handling dividend disbursements, rights allotments, and CDS & Clearing reconciliations.
    5. Corporate Advisory Services: Advising corporate clients on financial restructuring, capital structure optimization, mergers and acquisitions (M&A), asset valuation, and project financing.

    Part (b): Underwriting Syndicate Calculations (5 Marks)

    1. Issue Parameters:

    • Total Shares Offered = 2,000,000 shares @ Rs. 100 = Rs. 200,000,000
    • Public Applications Received = 1,400,000 shares
    • Unsubscribed Shortfall = 2,000,0001,400,000=600,000 shares2,000,000 - 1,400,000 = \mathbf{600,000 \text{ shares}} (Shortfall Value = Rs. 60,000,000)
    • Underwriting Commission Rate = 2.5% on total underwritten commitment.

    2. Underwriting Commitments & Commissions:

    • Merchant Bank X (40%):
      • Commitment = 2,000,000×40%=800,000 shares2,000,000 \times 40\% = 800,000 \text{ shares} (Rs. 80,000,000)
      • Commission = Rs. 80,000,000×2.5%=Rs. 2,000,000\text{Rs. } 80,000,000 \times 2.5\% = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 2,000,000}
    • Merchant Bank Y (35%):
      • Commitment = 2,000,000×35%=700,000 shares2,000,000 \times 35\% = 700,000 \text{ shares} (Rs. 70,000,000)
      • Commission = Rs. 70,000,000×2.5%=Rs. 1,750,000\text{Rs. } 70,000,000 \times 2.5\% = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 1,750,000}
    • Merchant Bank Z (25%):
      • Commitment = 2,000,000×25%=500,000 shares2,000,000 \times 25\% = 500,000 \text{ shares} (Rs. 50,000,000)
      • Commission = Rs. 50,000,000×2.5%=Rs. 1,250,000\text{Rs. } 50,000,000 \times 2.5\% = \mathbf{\text{Rs. } 1,250,000}

    3. Absorption of Shortfall Shares & Net Cash Settlement:

    Underwriter Underwriting Share (%) Shortfall Shares Absorbed Rupee Value of Shares (Rs.) Commission Earned (Rs.) Net Cash Outflow to Issuer (Rs.)
    Merchant Bank X 40% 240,000 24,000,000.00 2,000,000.00 22,000,000.00
    Merchant Bank Y 35% 210,000 21,000,000.00 1,750,000.00 19,250,000.00
    Merchant Bank Z 25% 150,000 15,000,000.00 1,250,000.00 13,750,000.00
    Total 100% 600,000 60,000,000.00 5,000,000.00 Rs. 55,000,000.00

    Each merchant bank absorbs its proportional quota of unsubscribed shares and pays the net purchase amount after deducting its earned underwriting commission.

Group C

Comprehensive Answer / Case Analysis Question. Attempt ALL sub-questions.

[1 × 20 = 20]
  1. Read the monetary policy and banking system case scenario and answer all questions:

    Case Scenario: Commercial Banking Liquidity Dynamics in Nepal Over a two-year macro-financial cycle, Nepal’s financial sector witnessed acute liquidity shifts:

    • Year 1 (Liquidity Deficit / Crunch): Rapid private sector credit expansion, soaring import expenditures, and foreign exchange reserve drawdowns pushed the banking sector’s Credit-to-Deposit (CD) ratio above statutory ceilings. Interbank interest rates surged to 9.5%, commercial banks escalated 1-year fixed deposit rates to 12.5%, and Nepal Rastra Bank (NRB) injected liquidity via repo auctions and the Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF).
    • Year 2 (Liquidity Surplus / Glut): Worker remittances surged to over Rs. 1.4 trillion, imports contracted, inflation moderated, and balance of payments recorded large surpluses. Banking liquidity soared, the interbank rate plummeted to 2.75%, and commercial banks struggled to deploy funds, reducing fixed deposit rates to 6.5%.

    Regulatory Framework (NRB Directives):

    1. Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR): 4.0% of total deposit liabilities (held in cash balances at NRB without interest).
    2. Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR): 12.0% of total deposit liabilities for Class ‘A’ commercial banks (held in cash, balances, and government securities).
    3. Credit-to-Deposit (CD) Ratio: Maximum statutory ceiling of 90.0%.
    4. Interest Rate Corridor (IRC): Operating framework with an upper ceiling (Bank Rate), policy target (Policy Repo Rate), and lower floor (Standing Deposit Facility / SDF Rate).

    Case Institution: “National Commercial Bank Ltd.” (NCBL)

    • Year 1: Total deposit base was Rs. 200 Billion; total loans and advances disbursed stood at Rs. 184 Billion.
    • Year 2: Total deposits expanded by 15% to Rs. 230 Billion, while loans and advances grew by only 5% to Rs. 193.2 Billion.

    Required: a) For both Year 1 and Year 2, compute National Commercial Bank Ltd.'s:

    1. Mandatory CRR rupee balance.
    2. Mandatory SLR rupee requirement.
    3. Actual CD ratio. Evaluate NCBL’s statutory regulatory compliance with NRB’s 90% CD ceiling in each year. (6 Marks) b) Explain the operational mechanism of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) in Nepal. How does NRB use the Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) and Deposit Collection Auctions when interbank interest rates drop below the corridor’s floor? (6 Marks) c) Analyze the fundamental structural causes behind the recurring boom-bust liquidity cycles in Nepal. Highlight the specific roles of remittance inflows, government treasury spending delays (Asare Vikas), and foreign trade imbalances. (4 Marks) d) Formulate four actionable strategic recommendations for Nepal Rastra Bank and SEBON to direct idle banking liquidity into productive industrial infrastructure and domestic capital markets. (4 Marks)
    [20]
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    Case Solution: Nepal Banking Liquidity & Monetary Framework


    Part (a): Regulatory Metric Computations & Compliance Evaluation (6 Marks)

    1. Computations for Year 1 and Year 2:

    Regulatory Parameter NRB Norm Year 1 (Base) Year 2 (+15% Deposits, +5% Loans)
    Total Domestic Deposits (DD) Rs. 200.00 Billion Rs. 230.00 Billion
    Total Loans & Advances (LL) Rs. 184.00 Billion Rs. 193.20 Billion
    Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR @ 4.0%) 4.0% 200×4%=200 \times 4\% = Rs. 8.00 Billion 230×4%=230 \times 4\% = Rs. 9.20 Billion
    Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR @ 12.0%) 12.0% 200×12%=200 \times 12\% = Rs. 24.00 Billion 230×12%=230 \times 12\% = Rs. 27.60 Billion
    Actual Credit-to-Deposit (CD) Ratio Max 90.0% 184200=\frac{184}{200} = 92.00% 193.2230=\frac{193.2}{230} = 84.00%
    Statutory CD Compliance Status Max 90.0% NON-COMPLIANT (Breach by 2.0%) COMPLIANT (6.0% Cushion)

    2. Regulatory Compliance Analysis:

    • Year 1: NCBL breached the statutory 90% CD ratio ceiling by 200 basis points (92.00%). Under NRB unified directives, the bank was subject to penal interest fines on the Rs. 4 Billion excess lending and faced regulatory restrictions on opening new branches and declaring dividends.
    • Year 2: Deposits grew rapidly (+15%) while credit demand stalled (+5%), causing the CD ratio to decline to 84.00%. NCBL was fully compliant with a comfortable lending headroom of Rs. 13.8 Billion (230×0.90193.2230 \times 0.90 - 193.2), creating surplus idle liquidity.

    Part (b): Operation of the Interest Rate Corridor (IRC) in Nepal (6 Marks)

    The Interest Rate Corridor guides short-term interbank interest rates within a predictable bandwidth:

    Corridor Ceiling: Bank Rate / Standing Liquidity Facility (SLF) Rate
              ▲
              |
    Corridor Target:  Policy Repo Rate (Mid-Point Benchmark)
              |
              ▼
    Corridor Floor:   Standing Deposit Facility (SDF) Rate / Reverse Repo
    

    Central Bank Interventions During Liquidity Surplus:

    When interbank rates crash below the lower floor (e.g., plunging to 2.75%):

    1. Standing Deposit Facility (SDF): NRB allows commercial banks to deposit surplus uncollateralized funds overnight at the statutory floor rate, setting a hard bottom under market rates.
    2. Deposit Collection Auctions: NRB conducts fixed-term deposit auctions (7 to 28 days) to absorb excess liquidity from the market against market-determined interest rates.
    3. Outright Sale of Government Securities & NRB Bonds: Selling T-Bills and NRB bonds to mop up structural liquidity, tightening excess bank reserves.

    Part (c): Structural Drivers of Nepal’s Liquidity Cycles (4 Marks)

    1. Remittance Inflow Volatility: Worker remittances (Rs. 1.4+ trillion) inject sudden, massive, unearned liquidity into commercial bank deposits without an immediate matching commercial demand for bank borrowing.
    2. Fiscal Spending Seasonality (Asare Vikas): The Government of Nepal accumulates huge revenue surpluses in its NRB treasury account during Q1–Q3 while executing capital development projects in the final fiscal month (Asar). This drains liquidity all year and creates a sudden deluge in June/July.
    3. Import-Driven Economy: Over 90% of trade is import-based. When imports surge, bank deposits are converted to foreign currency and remitted abroad to pay foreign suppliers, draining domestic bank reserves and triggering liquidity crunches.

    Part (d): Strategic Reforms for NRB and SEBON (4 Marks)

    1. Infrastructure Debt Funds & Green Municipal Bonds: SEBON and NRB should enable commercial banks to invest idle liquidity into long-term infrastructure bonds (hydropower, transmission lines, toll highways) with tax-exempt interest yields.
    2. Deepening Corporate Debt Market: Mandate corporate entities above a specific capital threshold to issue listed corporate debentures for long-term project debt rather than relying on short-term bank consortium loans.
    3. Sovereign Wealth / Stabilization Fund: Establish an institutional sovereign fund that absorbs excess remittance liquidity during boom periods and deploys it into long-term productive domestic enterprise.
    4. Counter-Cyclical Dynamic Provisioning & Fiscal Smoothing: Require the Ministry of Finance to implement milestone-based quarterly capital budget disbursements to eliminate seasonal fiscal treasury hoarding.