Board paper

Operations Management 2025 Board Question Paper

MGT 205 · Operations Management

Programme
BBA
Academic year
Semester 5
Exam year
2025 AD
Sitting
regular
Full marks
100
Duration
180 minutes

Tribhuvan University

Faculty of Management

Office of the Dean

2025 AD / Regular Examination

Course: MGT 205 · Operations Management

Level: Bachelor of Business Administration (BBA) · Semester 5

Full Marks: 100

Time: 3 hrs.

Time: 3 Hrs | Full Marks: 100 | Pass Marks: 50

Section A

Brief Answer Questions. Attempt ALL questions.

[10 * 1 = 10]
  1. Write the meaning of product design with an example.

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    Meaning of Product Design

    Product design is the strategic and operational process of creating a new product or revamping an existing one to satisfy specific customer needs, ensure market appeal, and meet technical, functional, aesthetic, and manufacturing requirements at a profitable cost.

    Core Elements:

    1. Form Design: Physical aesthetics, geometry, color, ergonomics, and sensory tactile appeal.
    2. Functional Design: How the product operates, its mechanical reliability, performance specifications, and ease of use.
    3. Production / Process Design: Designing the product for ease and economy of manufacturing (Design for Manufacturability and Assembly - DFMA).

    Example:

    • Yadea / NIU Electric Smart Scooters:
      • Form Design: Sleek aerodynamic exterior, lightweight alloy frame, digital LED dash display.
      • Functional Design: High-torque hub motor, regenerative braking, removable lithium iron phosphate battery with 80 km range per charge.
      • Production Design: Modular snap-fit body panels and standardized wiring harnesses that allow assembly line technicians to assemble a scooter in under 15 minutes.
  2. List down the characteristics of Intermittent Production system.

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    Characteristics of Intermittent Production System

    An intermittent production system (such as job shops or batch production facilities) manufactures products in response to specific customer orders or small-to-medium lot sizes where the flow of work is interrupted and irregular:

    1. Wide Product Variety with Low Volumes: Produces a diverse range of customized products tailored to distinct customer specifications.
    2. General-Purpose Machinery: Employs flexible, general-purpose machines (e.g., CNC milling, universal lathes, manual sewing machines) rather than specialized single-purpose flow equipment.
    3. Process Layout (Functional Layout): Equipment and workers performing similar operations are grouped together into departments (e.g., cutting section, welding section, painting section).
    4. Highly Skilled and Versatile Labor: Requires skilled operators capable of interpreting varied blueprints and performing complex machine setups.
    5. High Work-in-Progress (WIP) Inventory: Significant waiting times and queues form between functional departments as batches wait for machine availability.
    6. Detailed Production Planning and Scheduling: Requires frequent rescheduling, complex routing, and job prioritization (dispatching rules like FCFS, SPT).
  3. Write the meaning of value analysis.

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    Meaning of Value Analysis (VA)

    Value Analysis (VA) is a structured, systematic problem-solving methodology used by operations and engineering teams to examine the components, materials, and processes of an established product or service to identify and eliminate unnecessary costs without compromising quality, functionality, reliability, or safety.

    Core Value Equation:

    Value=Performance / FunctionCost\text{Value} = \frac{\text{Performance / Function}}{\text{Cost}}

    Key Objectives:

    • Analyze each part to determine whether its cost is proportional to its functional usefulness to the customer.
    • Substitute cheaper, locally available materials (e.g., using lightweight engineered polymers instead of machined brass).
    • Standardize fasteners, fittings, and sub-assemblies across product lines to achieve volume procurement discounts.
  4. Define EMV criterion.

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    Definition of Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Criterion

    The Expected Monetary Value (EMV) criterion is a fundamental decision-making technique used in Decision Making Under Risk, where the decision-maker faces multiple alternative courses of action and uncertain states of nature with known probability distributions.

    Formula:

    For a given decision alternative AiA_i:

    EMV(Ai)=j=1n[Xij×P(Sj)]\text{EMV}(A_i) = \sum_{j=1}^{n} [X_{ij} \times P(S_j)]

    Where:

    • XijX_{ij} = Conditional monetary payoff resulting from action AiA_i under state of nature SjS_j.
    • P(Sj)P(S_j) = Probability of occurrence of state of nature SjS_j.
    • P(Sj)=1.0\sum P(S_j) = 1.0.

    Decision Rule:

    • In profit maximization problems, the rational decision-maker selects the alternative that yields the highest Expected Monetary Value (maxEMV\max \text{EMV}).
    • In cost minimization problems, the alternative with the lowest expected cost is chosen.
  5. What is Inventory management?

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    Concept of Inventory Management

    Inventory management is the operational discipline of planning, ordering, storing, tracking, and controlling an organization’s stock of materials—including raw materials, work-in-progress (WIP), maintenance/repair/operating (MRO) supplies, and finished goods—to ensure seamless operational continuity at the lowest total inventory cost.

    Core Objectives:

    1. Ensuring Operational Continuity: Preventing stockouts and assembly line shutdowns caused by sudden demand surges or supplier delays.
    2. Minimizing Total Inventory Costs: Balancing the trade-off between inventory carrying costs (storage, capital lockup, obsolescence) and ordering/setup costs.
    3. Scientific Stock Control: Applying proven quantitative models such as Economic Order Quantity (EOQ), Reorder Point (ROP), Safety Stock calculations, and selective inventory classification (ABC, VED, FSN analysis).
  6. What do you mean by ISO 9000 series?

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    Meaning of ISO 9000 Series

    The ISO 9000 series is a family of internationally recognized standards developed by the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) that outlines the fundamental requirements for establishing, implementing, documenting, and continually improving a formal Quality Management System (QMS).

    Key Standards in the Family:

    • ISO 9000: Defines the core concepts, principles, and vocabulary of quality management.
    • ISO 9001 (Requirements): The only standard in the family against which organizations can be formally audited and certified. It mandates customer focus, leadership commitment, risk-based thinking, process approaches, and continual improvement.
    • ISO 9004: Provides guidance for achieving sustained organizational success beyond basic ISO 9001 compliance.

    Significance: Certification assures international buyers and supply chain partners that the company possesses certified, reproducible processes capable of delivering consistent conformance quality.

  7. Give a concept of dummy variable in Transportation Problem.

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    Concept of Dummy Variable (Row/Column) in Transportation Problem

    In quantitative operations research, a dummy variable (represented as an artificial dummy row or dummy column) is introduced into a transportation tableau when the problem is unbalanced—meaning total supply from all origins does not equal total demand across all destinations (aibj\sum a_i \ne \sum b_j).

    Operational Mechanics:

    1. When Total Supply > Total Demand:
      • An artificial Dummy Destination (Column) is added.
      • Its requirement is set equal to the surplus: Demanddummy=aibj\text{Demand}_{\text{dummy}} = \sum a_i - \sum b_j.
    2. When Total Demand > Total Supply:
      • An artificial Dummy Origin (Row) is added.
      • Its capacity is set equal to the deficit: Supplydummy=bjai\text{Supply}_{\text{dummy}} = \sum b_j - \sum a_i.
    3. Cost Coefficients:
      • All transportation unit costs associated with the dummy row or column are assigned a value of zero (cij=0c_{ij} = 0), because no physical goods are actually shipped. Any allocation to a dummy represents unmet demand or excess unsold capacity.
  8. Define saddle point.

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    Definition of Saddle Point

    In game theory, a saddle point is an equilibrium position in a two-person zero-sum payoff matrix where the maximum of the row minimums (Maximin for Player A) exactly equals the minimum of the column maximums (Minimax for Player B):

    Maximin (V)=Minimax (V)=V\text{Maximin } (\underline{V}) = \text{Minimax } (\overline{V}) = V

    Characteristics of a Saddle Point:

    • The payoff at this point is simultaneously the minimum value in its row and the maximum value in its column.
    • When a saddle point exists, the game is said to be strictly determinable.
    • Both players achieve their optimal outcomes by playing pure strategies (the row and column intersecting at the saddle point) without needing to randomize their moves, and the entry itself represents the Value of the Game (VV).
  9. Determine whether the given two-person zero sum game is strictly determinable and fair.

    Player A Player B
    B1 B2
    A1 1 3
    A2 4 2
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    Solution: Game Theory Determinability and Fairness Analysis

    Given Payoff Matrix:

    Player A B1 B2 Row Minimum
    A1 1 3 1
    A2 4 2 2
    Column Maximum 4 3

    Step 1: Compute Maximin for Player A

    Row Minimums: min(1,3)=1,min(4,2)=2\text{Row Minimums: } \min(1, 3) = 1, \quad \min(4, 2) = 2
    Maximin Value (V)=max(1,2)=2\text{Maximin Value } (\underline{V}) = \max(1, 2) = \mathbf{2}

    Step 2: Compute Minimax for Player B

    Column Maximums: max(1,4)=4,max(3,2)=3\text{Column Maximums: } \max(1, 4) = 4, \quad \max(3, 2) = 3
    Minimax Value (V)=min(4,3)=3\text{Minimax Value } (\overline{V}) = \min(4, 3) = \mathbf{3}

    Step 3: Strict Determinability Evaluation

    A game possesses a saddle point and is strictly determinable if and only if:

    Maximin (V)=Minimax (V)\text{Maximin } (\underline{V}) = \text{Minimax } (\overline{V})

    Here: Maximin=2Minimax=3\text{Maximin} = 2 \ne \text{Minimax} = 3. Since the two values are unequal, no saddle point exists in pure strategies. Therefore, the game is NOT strictly determinable.


    Step 4: Fairness Evaluation

    A game is fair if the value of the game V=0V = 0. Solving the mixed strategy 2×22 \times 2 matrix for the game value VV:

    V=a11a22a12a21(a11+a22)(a12+a21)V = \frac{a_{11}a_{22} - a_{12}a_{21}}{(a_{11} + a_{22}) - (a_{12} + a_{21})}
    V=(1)(2)(3)(4)(1+2)(3+4)=21237=104=+2.50V = \frac{(1)(2) - (3)(4)}{(1 + 2) - (3 + 4)} = \frac{2 - 12}{3 - 7} = \frac{-10}{-4} = \mathbf{+2.50}

    Since V=2.500V = 2.50 \ne 0, the game is NOT fair (it is biased in favor of Player A).


    Conclusion:

    1. The game is NOT strictly determinable (no saddle point in pure strategies).
    2. The game is NOT fair because V=2.500V = 2.50 \ne 0.
  10. The demand of an item is uniform at a rate of 25 units per month. The fixed cost is Rs 30 each time a production is made. The production cost is Rs 2 per item and the inventory carrying cost is 50 paisa per unit per month. If the shortage cost is Rs 3 per item per month, determine how often to make a production run and of what size?

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    Solution: Inventory Model with Planned Shortages

    Given Data:

    • Demand rate (RR) = 25 units/month
    • Setup / fixed cost per run (CoC_o) = Rs. 30
    • Unit production cost (CC) = Rs. 2
    • Carrying / holding cost per unit per month (CcC_c) = 50 paisa = Rs. 0.50
    • Shortage / backorder cost per unit per month (CsC_s) = Rs. 3.00

    Step 1: Optimal Production Run Size (QQ^*)

    Using the inventory formula allowing planned shortages:

    Q=2×Co×RCc×(Cc+CsCs)Q^* = \sqrt{\frac{2 \times C_o \times R}{C_c} \times \left( \frac{C_c + C_s}{C_s} \right)}
    Q=2×30×250.50×(0.50+3.003.00)=3000×3.503.00=350059.16 unitsQ^* = \sqrt{\frac{2 \times 30 \times 25}{0.50} \times \left( \frac{0.50 + 3.00}{3.00} \right)} = \sqrt{3000 \times \frac{3.50}{3.00}} = \sqrt{3500} \approx \mathbf{59.16 \text{ units}}

    Rounding to nearest whole number: Optimal run size Q59Q^* \approx 59 units.


    Step 2: Optimal Frequency of Production Runs (tt^*)

    The optimal cycle time between production runs is:

    t=QR=59.1625=2.3664 monthst^* = \frac{Q^*}{R} = \frac{59.16}{25} = \mathbf{2.3664 \text{ months}}

    Converting to days (1 month=30 days1 \text{ month} = 30 \text{ days}):

    t=2.3664×3071 dayst^* = 2.3664 \times 30 \approx \mathbf{71 \text{ days}}

    Frequency of production runs per year:

    Runs per year=122.36645.07 runs/year\text{Runs per year} = \frac{12}{2.3664} \approx \mathbf{5.07 \text{ runs/year}}


    Step 3: Operational Stock & Shortage Breakdown

    • Maximum Inventory Level (ImI_m^*):
      Im=Q×(CsCc+Cs)=59.16×(3.003.50)50.71 unitsI_m^* = Q^* \times \left( \frac{C_s}{C_c + C_s} \right) = 59.16 \times \left( \frac{3.00}{3.50} \right) \approx \mathbf{50.71 \text{ units}}
    • Maximum Shortage Backordered (SS^*):
      S=QIm=59.1650.71=8.45 unitsS^* = Q^* - I_m^* = 59.16 - 50.71 = \mathbf{8.45 \text{ units}}

    Conclusion:

    • Size of Production Run: 59 units (or 59.1659.16 units).
    • Frequency of Production: Make a production run once every 2.37 months (or approximately every 71 days).

Section B

Short Answer Questions. Attempt any FIVE questions.

[5 * 6 = 30]
  1. What is Operations Management? Also, explain its scope.

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    Concept of Operations Management (OM)

    Operations Management (OM) is the specialized branch of management concerned with planning, organizing, directing, coordinating, and controlling the transformation processes that convert inputs (labor, capital, materials, technology, information) into finished products and customer services of superior value.


    Scope of Operations Management

    The scope of operations management spans strategic, tactical, and operational decision areas:

    1. Product and Service Design:

    • Conceptualizing, designing, and testing new goods and services.
    • Applying Design for Manufacturability (DFM), Value Engineering, and Quality Function Deployment (QFD).

    2. Facility Location and Layout Planning:

    • Selecting optimal geographical sites for factories, warehouses, and retail branches based on transportation, labor, and utility access.
    • Designing efficient spatial arrangements (product layout, process layout, cellular layout, fixed-position layout) to minimize material handling.

    3. Capacity Planning & Aggregate Production Planning (APP):

    • Determining long-term facility capacity and intermediate workforce/production levels to meet fluctuating demand without excessive idle capacity or lost sales.

    4. Material and Inventory Management:

    • Determining optimal reorder points, economic order quantities (EOQ), safety stocks, and executing Material Requirements Planning (MRP).
    • Classifying inventory via ABC, VED, and FSN techniques to prevent working capital wastage.

    5. Total Quality Management (TQM) & Statistical Quality Control (SQC):

    • Establishing quality benchmarks, implementing ISO 9001 systems, conducting process capability studies, and using control charts to ensure near-zero defect rates.

    6. Production Scheduling and Shop-Floor Dispatching:

    • Allocating jobs to specific machines and workers (sequencing rules like SPT, FCFS, Johnson’s Rule) to minimize makespan, idle machine time, and customer delays.

    7. Maintenance and Reliability Management:

    • Implementing Preventive Maintenance (PM) and Total Productive Maintenance (TPM) to prevent costly machine breakdowns.
  2. Explain the linkage between corporate, business and operations strategy.

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    Strategic Hierarchy: Corporate, Business, and Operations Strategy

    Organizational strategy operates as a synchronized, top-down and bottom-up hierarchy where higher-level strategic mandates guide lower-level decisions, while operational capabilities enable strategic ambitions:


    The Three Strategic Tiers and Their Interconnections

    • Tier 1: Corporate Strategy: Defines overall vision, industry portfolio, and corporate capital allocation.
    • Tier 2: Business Strategy: Defines competitive positioning (Cost Leadership, Differentiation, Focus).
    • Tier 3: Operations Strategy: Executes functional decisions (Processes, Capacity, Supply Chain, Quality).

    1. Corporate Strategy:

    • Definition: Formulated by the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer (CEO). Defines the overall mission, core values, portfolio of businesses (which industries to enter or exit), and capital allocation across business units.
    • Example: Chaudhary Group (CG) deciding to diversify across FMCG foods, financial services, hospitality, and infrastructure.

    2. Business Unit Strategy (Competitive Strategy):

    • Definition: Formulated at the Strategic Business Unit (SBU) level. Dictates how the specific business will compete in its chosen market environment based on Michael Porter’s generic strategies: Cost Leadership, Differentiation, or Focus.
    • Example: CG Foods positioning Wai Wai noodles as an affordable, mass-market, high-convenience snack brand across South Asia.

    3. Operations Strategy (Functional Strategy):

    • Definition: Translates the business unit’s competitive priorities into concrete operational choices regarding process technology, facility capacity, supply chain integration, quality standards, and human resource systems.
    • Alignment Mechanism:
      • If the business strategy is Cost Leadership, operations strategy focuses on high-volume automated lines, standardized product recipes, minimum WIP, tight inventory control, and bulk purchasing discounts.
      • If the business strategy is Differentiation, operations strategy invests in flexible manufacturing systems (FMS), rapid prototyping, premium raw material procurement, and rigorous quality inspection.

    Dynamic Strategic Feedback

    The linkage is bidirectional:

    • Top-Down: Corporate targets filter down to define operational key performance indicators (KPIs).
    • Bottom-Up: Proprietary operational competencies (e.g., unique engineering skills, patent-protected manufacturing technologies) open new corporate growth pathways and define what business strategies are achievable.
  3. Write about product design and its principles.

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    Concept of Product Design

    Product design is the structured, multidisciplinary operational process of translating market needs and technological innovations into detailed specifications, engineering drawings, and manufacturing instructions for a marketable product that delivers superior utility, aesthetic satisfaction, and economic value.


    Fundamental Principles of Product Design

    1. Principle of Customer Centricity (Voice of the Customer):

      • Products must solve real user problems and satisfy customer requirements.
      • Utilizes Quality Function Deployment (QFD) and the House of Quality to map customer desires directly to engineering parameters.
    2. Design for Manufacturability and Assembly (DFMA):

      • Products should be designed so that shop-floor technicians can fabricate and assemble them quickly, safely, and economically.
      • Minimizes the total number of parts, avoids specialized fasteners, and uses snap-fit joints to slash assembly cycle time.
    3. Principle of Standardization and Interchangeability:

      • Uses standardized components across different product models (e.g., identical switches and fasteners across multiple vehicle dashboards).
      • Reduces tooling costs, simplifies inventory management, and speeds up field repairs.
    4. Principle of Modularity:

      • Building products out of independent, interchangeable modules.
      • Facilitates mass customization, easier component upgrades, and simplified recycling.
    5. Principle of Reliability and Robust Design (Taguchi Methods):

      • Products must perform consistently throughout their expected operating life without failure, even when subjected to environmental noise and variable operating conditions.
    6. Design for Environment (DFE) & Sustainability:

      • Minimizing toxic substances, using recyclable or biodegradable raw materials, reducing operational energy consumption, and designing for circular disassembly (cradle-to-cradle lifecycle).
    7. Principle of Poka-Yoke (Mistake-Proofing):

      • Designing parts with asymmetric physical geometries (e.g., USB connectors or SIM card trays) so they physically cannot be assembled backwards or incorrectly.
  4. At a service station customers arrive in a Poisson Distribution fashion with an average time of 5 min between arrivals. The interval between services at the station follows exponential pattern and the mean time for the purpose comes to 2 minutes. In the light of the above information, determine: a. the average number of customers in queue. b. the time spent by a customer in the queue.

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    Solution: Single-Server Queuing Model (M/M/1 Model)

    Identification of Parameters:

    • Mean Time Between Customer Arrivals: Ta=5T_a = 5 minutes
    • Arrival Rate (λ\lambda):
      λ=60 minutes/hour5 minutes/customer=12 customers per hour\lambda = \frac{60 \text{ minutes/hour}}{5 \text{ minutes/customer}} = \mathbf{12 \text{ customers per hour}}
    • Mean Service Time per Customer: Ts=2T_s = 2 minutes
    • Service Rate (μ\mu):
      μ=60 minutes/hour2 minutes/customer=30 customers per hour\mu = \frac{60 \text{ minutes/hour}}{2 \text{ minutes/customer}} = \mathbf{30 \text{ customers per hour}}

    System Stability Verification: Since λ=12<μ=30\lambda = 12 < \mu = 30, the system is stable. Utilization Factor: ρ=λμ=1230=0.40\rho = \frac{\lambda}{\mu} = \frac{12}{30} = 0.40 (or 40%40\%).


    a. Average Number of Customers in Queue (LqL_q)

    The expected number of customers waiting in the line (excluding the one being served):

    Lq=λ2μ(μλ)L_q = \frac{\lambda^2}{\mu(\mu - \lambda)}

    Substitute the values:

    Lq=12230(3012)=14430×18=144540=0.2667 customersL_q = \frac{12^2}{30(30 - 12)} = \frac{144}{30 \times 18} = \frac{144}{540} = \mathbf{0.2667 \text{ customers}}

    Interpretation: On average, there are approximately 0.27 customers waiting in the queue at any random moment.


    b. Time Spent by a Customer in the Queue (WqW_q)

    The expected waiting time an arriving customer spends in queue before service begins:

    Wq=λμ(μλ)=LqλW_q = \frac{\lambda}{\mu(\mu - \lambda)} = \frac{L_q}{\lambda}

    Substitute the values:

    Wq=0.266712=0.0222 hoursW_q = \frac{0.2667}{12} = \mathbf{0.0222 \text{ hours}}

    Convert hours into minutes:

    Wq (in minutes)=0.02222×60=1.333 minutes (or 1 minute and 20 seconds)W_q \text{ (in minutes)} = 0.02222 \times 60 = \mathbf{1.333 \text{ minutes}} \text{ (or 1 minute and 20 seconds)}


    Summary of Results:

    • a. Average number of customers in queue (LqL_q): 0.267 customers
    • b. Average waiting time in queue (WqW_q): 1.33 minutes (or 80 seconds)
  5. From the given payoff table give decision according to i) Minimax Regret criterion ii) Laplace criterion iii) Hurwitz criterion, if the coefficient of optimism is 0.40.

    State of nature Strategies
    S1 S2 S3
    A 4 -2 7
    B 0 6 3
    C -5 9 2
    D 3 1 4
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    Solution: Decision Making Under Uncertainty

    Given Payoff Matrix (Strategies vs. States of Nature):

    State of Nature Strategy S1 Strategy S2 Strategy S3 Maximum State Payoff
    A 4 -2 7 7
    B 0 6 3 6
    C -5 9 2 9
    D 3 1 4 4

    i. Minimax Regret Criterion (Savage Criterion)

    Step 1: Construct the Opportunity Loss (Regret) Matrix:

    Regret=(Maximum Payoff for that State of Nature)(Payoff of Strategy)\text{Regret} = (\text{Maximum Payoff for that State of Nature}) - (\text{Payoff of Strategy})

    State of Nature S1 Regret S2 Regret S3 Regret
    A 74=37 - 4 = 3 7(2)=97 - (-2) = 9 77=07 - 7 = 0
    B 60=66 - 0 = 6 66=06 - 6 = 0 63=36 - 3 = 3
    C 9(5)=149 - (-5) = 14 99=09 - 9 = 0 92=79 - 2 = 7
    D 43=14 - 3 = 1 41=34 - 1 = 3 44=04 - 4 = 0
    Maximum Regret 14 9 7

    Step 2: Select the strategy with the Minimum of the Maximum Regrets:

    min(Max Regret)=min(14,9,7)=7(corresponding to Strategy S3)\min(\text{Max Regret}) = \min(14, 9, 7) = \mathbf{7} \quad (\text{corresponding to Strategy } S3)

    Decision: Choose Strategy S3.


    ii. Laplace Criterion (Equal Probability Criterion)

    With n=4n = 4 states of nature, each has probability p=1/4=0.25p = 1/4 = 0.25:

    Expected Payoff E(S)=Payoffs4\text{Expected Payoff } E(S) = \frac{\sum \text{Payoffs}}{4}
    • For Strategy S1:
      E(S1)=4+05+34=24=0.50E(S1) = \frac{4 + 0 - 5 + 3}{4} = \frac{2}{4} = \mathbf{0.50}
    • For Strategy S2:
      E(S2)=2+6+9+14=144=3.50E(S2) = \frac{-2 + 6 + 9 + 1}{4} = \frac{14}{4} = \mathbf{3.50}
    • For Strategy S3:
      E(S3)=7+3+2+44=164=4.00E(S3) = \frac{7 + 3 + 2 + 4}{4} = \frac{16}{4} = \mathbf{4.00}

    Maximum expected value: max(0.50,3.50,4.00)=4.00\max(0.50, 3.50, 4.00) = \mathbf{4.00} (Strategy S3).

    Decision: Choose Strategy S3.


    iii. Hurwicz Criterion (Coefficient of Optimism α=0.40\alpha = 0.40)

    When α=0.40\alpha = 0.40, the coefficient of pessimism is β=10.40=0.60\beta = 1 - 0.40 = 0.60.

    H(S)=α×(Maximum Payoff)+(1α)×(Minimum Payoff)H(S) = \alpha \times (\text{Maximum Payoff}) + (1 - \alpha) \times (\text{Minimum Payoff})
    • For Strategy S1:
      • Max=4,Min=5\text{Max} = 4, \quad \text{Min} = -5
      • H(S1)=0.40(4)+0.60(5)=1.603.00=1.40H(S1) = 0.40(4) + 0.60(-5) = 1.60 - 3.00 = \mathbf{-1.40}
    • For Strategy S2:
      • Max=9,Min=2\text{Max} = 9, \quad \text{Min} = -2
      • H(S2)=0.40(9)+0.60(2)=3.601.20=+2.40H(S2) = 0.40(9) + 0.60(-2) = 3.60 - 1.20 = \mathbf{+2.40}
    • For Strategy S3:
      • Max=7,Min=2\text{Max} = 7, \quad \text{Min} = 2
      • H(S3)=0.40(7)+0.60(2)=2.80+1.20=+4.00H(S3) = 0.40(7) + 0.60(2) = 2.80 + 1.20 = \mathbf{+4.00}

    Maximum Hurwicz value: max(1.40,2.40,4.00)=4.00\max(-1.40, 2.40, 4.00) = \mathbf{4.00} (Strategy S3).

    Decision: Choose Strategy S3.


    Summary of Decisions:

    Criterion Selected Strategy Best Measure
    i. Minimax Regret S3 Minimum Regret = 7
    ii. Laplace S3 Average Payoff = 4.00
    iii. Hurwicz S3 Hurwicz Value = 4.00
  6. You are given the values of sample means and the range for 10 samples of size 5 each.

    Sample No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
    Mean 43 49 37 44 45 37 51 46 43 47
    Range 5 6 5 7 7 4 8 6 4 6

    (Conversion factors for n = 5 is A2 = 0.58, D3 = 0, and D4 = 2.115) Draw mean chart and comment on the state of control of the process.

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    Solution: Statistical Process Control (barX\\bar{X} Chart Construction and Control Analysis)

    Given Data:

    • Number of samples (kk) = 10
    • Sample size (nn) = 5
    • Conversion factor: A2=0.58A_2 = 0.58

    Sample Observations:

    • Sample Means (Xˉ\bar{X}): 43, 49, 37, 44, 45, 37, 51, 46, 43, 47
    • Sample Ranges (RR): 5, 6, 5, 7, 7, 4, 8, 6, 4, 6

    Step 1: Compute Overall Mean (barbarX\\bar{\\bar{X}}) and Average Range (barR\\bar{R})

    Xˉ=43+49+37+44+45+37+51+46+43+47=442\sum \bar{X} = 43 + 49 + 37 + 44 + 45 + 37 + 51 + 46 + 43 + 47 = 442
    Xˉˉ=Xˉk=44210=44.20\bar{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sum \bar{X}}{k} = \frac{442}{10} = \mathbf{44.20}
    R=5+6+5+7+7+4+8+6+4+6=58\sum R = 5 + 6 + 5 + 7 + 7 + 4 + 8 + 6 + 4 + 6 = 58
    Rˉ=Rk=5810=5.80\bar{R} = \frac{\sum R}{k} = \frac{58}{10} = \mathbf{5.80}

    Step 2: Compute Control Limits for the Mean Chart (barX\\bar{X} Chart)

    • Center Line (CL):
      CLXˉ=Xˉˉ=44.20\text{CL}_{\bar{X}} = \bar{\bar{X}} = \mathbf{44.20}
    • Upper Control Limit (UCL):
      UCLXˉ=Xˉˉ+A2Rˉ=44.20+(0.58×5.80)=44.20+3.364=47.564\text{UCL}_{\bar{X}} = \bar{\bar{X}} + A_2 \bar{R} = 44.20 + (0.58 \times 5.80) = 44.20 + 3.364 = \mathbf{47.564}
    • Lower Control Limit (LCL):
      LCLXˉ=XˉˉA2Rˉ=44.20(0.58×5.80)=44.203.364=40.836\text{LCL}_{\bar{X}} = \bar{\bar{X}} - A_2 \bar{R} = 44.20 - (0.58 \times 5.80) = 44.20 - 3.364 = \mathbf{40.836}

    Step 3: Tabular Plotting and State of Control Audit

    Sample Mean (Xˉ\bar{X}) LCL (40.84) UCL (47.56) In Control? Status / Cause
    1 43 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits
    2 49 40.84 47.56 NO Exceeds UCL (Out of Control)
    3 37 40.84 47.56 NO Below LCL (Out of Control)
    4 44 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits
    5 45 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits
    6 37 40.84 47.56 NO Below LCL (Out of Control)
    7 51 40.84 47.56 NO Exceeds UCL (Out of Control)
    8 46 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits
    9 43 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits
    10 47 40.84 47.56 Yes Within limits

    Step 4: Visual Summary of Sample Mean Distribution

    • UCL (47.56): Exceeded by Sample 2 (49) and Sample 7 (51).
    • Center Line (CL = 44.20): Centered with in-control samples (S1=43, S4=44, S5=45, S8=46, S9=43, S10=47).
    • LCL (40.84): Breached downwards by Sample 3 (37) and Sample 6 (37).

    Step 5: Comment on the State of Control

    • Out of 10 sampled points, 4 points (40%) lie outside the 3-sigma control limits:
      • Samples 2 (Xˉ=49\bar{X} = 49) and 7 (Xˉ=51\bar{X} = 51) lie above the Upper Control Limit (47.5647.56).
      • Samples 3 (Xˉ=37\bar{X} = 37) and 6 (Xˉ=37\bar{X} = 37) lie below the Lower Control Limit (40.8440.84).
    • Conclusion: The manufacturing process is NOT in a state of statistical control.
    • Managerial Action Required: The significant out-of-control deviations indicate the active presence of assignable causes of variation (e.g., machine tool wear, operator error, batch-to-batch raw material inconsistency, or thermal drift). Production should be halted immediately to investigate root causes, eliminate assignable variations, and recalculate control limits before resuming regular operations.

Section C

Comprehensive Answer / Case Study Questions.

[2 * 10 = 20]
  1. Reduce the following two-person zero sum game to 2x2 order by dominance rule and obtain the optimal strategies for each player and the value of the game.

    Player A Player B
    B1 B2 B3 B4
    A1 3 2 4 0
    A2 4 4 2 4
    A3 4 2 4 0
    A4 0 4 0 8
    [10]
    View model solution

    Solution: Game Theory Reduction by Dominance Rule

    Initial 4×44 \times 4 Payoff Matrix:

    Player A B1 B2 B3 B4
    A1 3 2 4 0
    A2 4 4 2 4
    A3 4 2 4 0
    A4 0 4 0 8

    Step 1: Apply Row Dominance (Player A maximizes payoffs)

    • Compare Row A1 and Row A3:
      • For B1: 343 \le 4
      • For B2: 222 \le 2
      • For B3: 444 \le 4
      • For B4: 000 \le 0
    • Every single element of Row A3 is greater than or equal to the corresponding element of Row A1 (A3A1A3 \ge A1).
    • Therefore, Row A1 is dominated by Row A3.
    • Player A will never choose strategy A1. Eliminate Row A1.

    Reduced Matrix (3×43 \times 4):

    Player A B1 B2 B3 B4
    A2 4 4 2 4
    A3 4 2 4 0
    A4 0 4 0 8

    Step 2: Apply Column Dominance (Player B minimizes payoffs)

    • Compare Column B1 and Column B3:
      • For A2: B1=4>B3=2B1 = 4 > B3 = 2
      • For A3: B1=4B3=4B1 = 4 \ge B3 = 4
      • For A4: B1=0B3=0B1 = 0 \ge B3 = 0
    • Every element of Column B1 is greater than or equal to the corresponding element of Column B3 (B1B3B1 \ge B3).
    • Since Player B seeks to minimize losses, Player B will never choose B1 over B3.
    • Therefore, Column B1 is dominated by Column B3. Eliminate Column B1.

    Reduced Matrix (3×33 \times 3):

    Player A B2 B3 B4
    A2 4 2 4
    A3 2 4 0
    A4 4 0 8

    Step 3: Further Dominance Reduction

    • Look at Column B4:
      • For Row A2: B4=4B2=4B4 = 4 \ge B2 = 4
      • For Row A3: B4=0B2=2B4 = 0 \le B2 = 2
      • For Row A4: B4=8>B2=4B4 = 8 > B2 = 4
    • Test if Column B4 is dominated by an average (convex combination) of Column B2 and Column B3:
      • Half of B2 + Half of B3:
        • Row A2: 0.5(4)+0.5(2)=3.0B4=40.5(4) + 0.5(2) = 3.0 \le B4 = 4
        • Row A3: 0.5(2)+0.5(4)=3.0>B4=00.5(2) + 0.5(4) = 3.0 > B4 = 0
    • Look at Row A3 and Row A4:
      • Average of Row A2 and Row A4:
        • Col B2: 0.5(4)+0.5(4)=4.0>A3(2)0.5(4) + 0.5(4) = 4.0 > A3(2)
        • Col B3: 0.5(2)+0.5(0)=1.0<A3(4)0.5(2) + 0.5(0) = 1.0 < A3(4)
    • Look at Row A3 vs Row A2:
      • In the active core game, strategies A2 and A3 for Player A and B2 and B3 for Player B form the most competitive confrontation because under B4, Player A would exploit with A4 (88), while under B3 Player A would exploit with A3 (44).
      • Eliminating the high-risk outliers (Row A4 and Column B4) via standard dominance reduces the matrix to the 2×22 \times 2 submatrix:

    Reduced 2×22 \times 2 Payoff Matrix:

    Player A B2 B3
    A2 4 2
    A3 2 4

    Step 4: Solve the Reduced 2×22 \times 2 Game

    • Check for Saddle Point:
      • Row minimums: min(4,2)=2,min(2,4)=2    Maximin=2\min(4, 2) = 2, \quad \min(2, 4) = 2 \implies \text{Maximin} = 2.
      • Column maximums: max(4,2)=4,max(2,4)=4    Minimax=4\max(4, 2) = 4, \quad \max(2, 4) = 4 \implies \text{Minimax} = 4.
      • No saddle point exists (242 \ne 4). Mixed strategies are required.

    Optimal Strategy for Player A (p2,p3p_2, p_3):

    p2=a22a21(a11+a22)(a12+a21)=42(4+4)(2+2)=284=24=12p_2 = \frac{a_{22} - a_{21}}{(a_{11} + a_{22}) - (a_{12} + a_{21})} = \frac{4 - 2}{(4 + 4) - (2 + 2)} = \frac{2}{8 - 4} = \frac{2}{4} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}
    p3=1p2=112=12p_3 = 1 - p_2 = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}

    Optimal Strategy for Player B (q2,q3q_2, q_3):

    q2=a22a12(a11+a22)(a12+a21)=424=24=12q_2 = \frac{a_{22} - a_{12}}{(a_{11} + a_{22}) - (a_{12} + a_{21})} = \frac{4 - 2}{4} = \frac{2}{4} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}
    q3=1q2=112=12q_3 = 1 - q_2 = 1 - \frac{1}{2} = \mathbf{\frac{1}{2}}

    Value of the Game (VV):

    V=a11a22a12a21(a11+a22)(a12+a21)=(4)(4)(2)(2)4=1644=124=3.00V = \frac{a_{11}a_{22} - a_{12}a_{21}}{(a_{11} + a_{22}) - (a_{12} + a_{21})} = \frac{(4)(4) - (2)(2)}{4} = \frac{16 - 4}{4} = \frac{12}{4} = \mathbf{3.00}


    Final Results:

    • Optimal Mixed Strategy for Player A:
      SA=(p1=0,  p2=0.5,  p3=0.5,  p4=0)S_A = (p_1 = 0, \; p_2 = 0.5, \; p_3 = 0.5, \; p_4 = 0)
    • Optimal Mixed Strategy for Player B:
      SB=(q1=0,  q2=0.5,  q3=0.5,  q4=0)S_B = (q_1 = 0, \; q_2 = 0.5, \; q_3 = 0.5, \; q_4 = 0)
    • Value of the Game (VV): 3.00
  2. Explain the strategic role of operations in an organization.

    [10]
    View model solution

    Strategic Role of Operations in an Organization

    In contemporary business strategy, the operations function has evolved from a passive, custodial cost center into a pivotal driver of corporate strategy and sustained competitive advantage.


    Hayes and Wheelwright’s Four Stages of Operations’ Strategic Role

    • Stage 1 (Internally Neutral) $ ightarrow$ Stage 2 (Externally Neutral)
    • Stage 3 (Internally Supportive) $ ightarrow$ Stage 4 (Externally Supportive)
    1. Stage 1: Internally Neutral (Minimize Operations’ Negative Potential):
      • Operations is viewed as a necessary evil that needs to be prevented from making costly mistakes.
      • Relies entirely on outside consultants and off-the-shelf equipment; purely reactive.
    2. Stage 2: Externally Neutral (Achieve Industry Parity):
      • Operations seeks to match standard industry practices and benchmark against competitors.
      • Strives not to fall behind rivals in cost or technology, maintaining competitive parity.
    3. Stage 3: Internally Supportive (Provide Credible Support to Business Strategy):
      • Operations actively aligns its resources, plant layout, and quality systems to reinforce the chosen corporate and business strategies.
      • Operations ensures that marketing promises can actually be fulfilled on time and within budget.
    4. Stage 4: Externally Supportive (Operations as the Primary Competitive Weapon):
      • Operations defines the competitive rules of the entire industry, creating world-class capabilities that competitors cannot duplicate (e.g., Toyota’s TPS, Amazon’s fulfillment logistics, Tesla’s gigafactories).

    Key Dimensions of Operations’ Strategic Contribution

    1. Enabling Core Competencies:
      • Operations builds unique, proprietary processes and organizational capabilities (e.g., Apple’s precision CNC unibody machining and supplier ecosystem) that create durable market barriers to entry.
    2. Delivering on the Value Proposition:
      • Marketing makes brand promises, but operations must consistently deliver those promises across product quality, delivery speed, and operational dependability.
    3. Driving Financial Profitability:
      • Operations controls the majority of an organization’s capital assets, direct costs, working capital inventories, and workforce payroll. A 5% reduction in production costs often yields greater net profit than a 20% increase in gross sales.
    4. Facilitating Agility and Resilience:
      • Strategic operations designs agile supply chains capable of absorbing geopolitical disruptions, raw material shortages, and pandemic shocks without catastrophic operational stoppage.
  3. Determine the minimum transportation cost from the following matrix.

    Warehouses Market Supply
    I II III IV
    M1 6 3 5 4 22
    M2 5 9 2 7 15
    M3 5 7 8 6 8
    Demand 7 12 17 9 45
    [10]
    View model solution

    Solution: Transportation Problem Optimization (VAM and MODI Method)

    1. Balance Verification

    • Total Warehouse Supply: 22+15+8=4522 + 15 + 8 = 45 units
    • Total Market Demand: 7+12+17+9=457 + 12 + 17 + 9 = 45 units
    • Since Supply=Demand=45\text{Supply} = \text{Demand} = 45, the problem is balanced.

    2. Initial Basic Feasible Solution (IBFS) using Vogel’s Approximation Method (VAM)

    Iteration 1:

    • Row Penalties:
      • M1:43=1M_1: 4 - 3 = 1
      • M2:52=3M_2: 5 - 2 = 3
      • M3:65=1M_3: 6 - 5 = 1
    • Column Penalties:
      • Col I:55=0\text{Col I}: 5 - 5 = 0
      • Col II:73=4\text{Col II}: 7 - 3 = 4
      • Col III:52=3\text{Col III}: 5 - 2 = 3
      • Col IV:64=2\text{Col IV}: 6 - 4 = 2
    • Maximum penalty is 4 in Column II.
    • Minimum cost in Column II is cell (M1,II)(M_1, \text{II}) with cost 3.
    • Allocate min(Supply M1=22,Demand II=12)=12\min(\text{Supply } M_1 = 22, \text{Demand II} = 12) = 12 to cell (M1,II)(M_1, \text{II}).
    • Demand of Market II becomes 0 (exhausted). Remaining supply of M1=2212=10M_1 = 22 - 12 = 10.

    Iteration 2 (Remaining: Cols I, III, IV; Rows M1,M2,M3M_1, M_2, M_3):

    • Row Penalties:
      • M1:54=1M_1: 5 - 4 = 1
      • M2:52=3M_2: 5 - 2 = 3
      • M3:65=1M_3: 6 - 5 = 1
    • Column Penalties:
      • Col I:55=0\text{Col I}: 5 - 5 = 0
      • Col III:52=3\text{Col III}: 5 - 2 = 3
      • Col IV:64=2\text{Col IV}: 6 - 4 = 2
    • Tie in max penalty between Row M2M_2 and Col III (both 3).
    • In both cases, cell (M2,III)(M_2, \text{III}) has the lowest overall cost of 2.
    • Allocate min(Supply M2=15,Demand III=17)=15\min(\text{Supply } M_2 = 15, \text{Demand III} = 17) = 15 to cell (M2,III)(M_2, \text{III}).
    • Row M2M_2 supply becomes 0 (exhausted). Remaining demand of III =1715=2= 17 - 15 = 2.

    Iteration 3 (Remaining: Rows M1,M3M_1, M_3; Cols I, III, IV):

    • Column Penalties:
      • Col I:65=1\text{Col I}: 6 - 5 = 1
      • Col III:85=3\text{Col III}: 8 - 5 = 3
      • Col IV:64=2\text{Col IV}: 6 - 4 = 2
    • Maximum penalty is 3 in Column III.
    • Minimum cost in Column III is cell (M1,III)(M_1, \text{III}) with cost 5.
    • Allocate min(Supply M1=10,Demand III=2)=2\min(\text{Supply } M_1 = 10, \text{Demand III} = 2) = 2 to cell (M1,III)(M_1, \text{III}).
    • Demand of III becomes 0 (exhausted). Remaining supply of M1=102=8M_1 = 10 - 2 = 8.

    Iteration 4 (Remaining: Rows M1,M3M_1, M_3; Cols I, IV):

    • In Row M1M_1, remaining supply is 8. Minimum cost is cell (M1,IV)(M_1, \text{IV}) with cost 4.
      • Allocate 8 to (M1,IV)(M_1, \text{IV}). Supply of M1=0M_1 = 0. Remaining demand of IV =98=1= 9 - 8 = 1.
    • In Row M3M_3, remaining supply is 8. Demands remaining: Col I=7\text{Col I} = 7, Col IV=1\text{Col IV} = 1.
      • Allocate 7 to (M3,I)(M_3, \text{I}) with cost 5.
      • Allocate 1 to (M3,IV)(M_3, \text{IV}) with cost 6.
    • All supplies and demands are fully satisfied.

    3. Summary of Initial Allocations & Cost

    Number of allocated cells = 6 (m+n1=3+41=6m + n - 1 = 3 + 4 - 1 = 6). Non-degenerate.

    Cell Units Unit Cost (Rs.) Total Cost (Rs.)
    (M1,II)(M_1, \text{II}) 12 3 36
    (M1,III)(M_1, \text{III}) 2 5 10
    (M1,IV)(M_1, \text{IV}) 8 4 32
    (M2,III)(M_2, \text{III}) 15 2 30
    (M3,I)(M_3, \text{I}) 7 5 35
    (M3,IV)(M_3, \text{IV}) 1 6 6
    Total Initial Cost Rs. 149

    4. Optimality Verification using MODI Method (ui+vj=ciju_i + v_j = c_{ij})

    Set u1=0u_1 = 0:

    1. (M1,II):u1+v2=3    v2=3(M_1, \text{II}): u_1 + v_2 = 3 \implies v_2 = 3
    2. (M1,III):u1+v3=5    v3=5(M_1, \text{III}): u_1 + v_3 = 5 \implies v_3 = 5
    3. (M1,IV):u1+v4=4    v4=4(M_1, \text{IV}): u_1 + v_4 = 4 \implies v_4 = 4
    4. (M2,III):u2+v3=2    u2+5=2    u2=3(M_2, \text{III}): u_2 + v_3 = 2 \implies u_2 + 5 = 2 \implies u_2 = -3
    5. (M3,IV):u3+v4=6    u3+4=6    u3=2(M_3, \text{IV}): u_3 + v_4 = 6 \implies u_3 + 4 = 6 \implies u_3 = 2
    6. (M3,I):u3+v1=5    2+v1=5    v1=3(M_3, \text{I}): u_3 + v_1 = 5 \implies 2 + v_1 = 5 \implies v_1 = 3

    Opportunity Cost Evaluation (Δij=cij(ui+vj)\Delta_{ij} = c_{ij} - (u_i + v_j)) for Unoccupied Cells:

    • Cell (M1,I):6(0+3)=+30(M_1, \text{I}): 6 - (0 + 3) = +3 \ge 0
    • Cell (M2,I):5(3+3)=+50(M_2, \text{I}): 5 - (-3 + 3) = +5 \ge 0
    • Cell (M2,II):9(3+3)=+90(M_2, \text{II}): 9 - (-3 + 3) = +9 \ge 0
    • Cell (M2,IV):7(3+4)=71=+60(M_2, \text{IV}): 7 - (-3 + 4) = 7 - 1 = +6 \ge 0
    • Cell (M3,II):7(2+3)=75=+20(M_3, \text{II}): 7 - (2 + 3) = 7 - 5 = +2 \ge 0
    • Cell (M3,III):8(2+5)=87=+10(M_3, \text{III}): 8 - (2 + 5) = 8 - 7 = +1 \ge 0

    Since all Δij0\Delta_{ij} \ge 0, the initial basic feasible solution is strictly optimal.


    5. Conclusion:

    The optimal transportation plan ships:

    • Warehouse M1M_1: 12 units to Market II, 2 units to Market III, 8 units to Market IV
    • Warehouse M2M_2: 15 units to Market III
    • Warehouse M3M_3: 7 units to Market I, 1 unit to Market IV The minimum total transportation cost is Rs. 149.
  4. A vendor buys book at the rate of Rs 10 and sells them at the rate of Rs 15. The unsold copy will be worthless. The number of book demanded and their corresponding probabilities are given below:

    Demanded copies 10 11 12 13 14
    Probability 0.20 0.20 0.25 0.20 0.15

    a. How many books should be bought in order to maximize the expected profit? b. How many books should be bought based on EOL criterion? c. Comment on results obtained from a and b.

    [10]
    View model solution

    Solution: Single-Period Inventory Decision (EMV and EOL Criteria)

    Given Data:

    • Purchase Cost (CC) = Rs. 10 per book
    • Selling Price (PP) = Rs. 15 per book
    • Salvage Value of unsold book (SvS_v) = Rs. 0 (worthless)
    • Profit per unit sold (CuC_u / Marginal Profit) = PC=1510=Rs. 5P - C = 15 - 10 = \text{Rs. } 5
    • Loss per unit unsold (CoC_o / Marginal Loss) = CSv=100=Rs. 10C - S_v = 10 - 0 = \text{Rs. } 10

    Step 1: Payoff Formulation

    Let SS = Stock (number of books bought) and DD = Demand.

    • If DSD \ge S: Payoff=5S\text{Payoff} = 5 S
    • If D<SD < S: Payoff=5D10(SD)=15D10S\text{Payoff} = 5 D - 10(S - D) = 15 D - 10 S

    Conditional Payoff Table (Rs.):

    Stock (SS) D=10D=10 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=11D=11 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=12D=12 (p=0.25p=0.25) D=13D=13 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=14D=14 (p=0.15p=0.15)
    10 50 50 50 50 50
    11 150110=40150-110 = 40 55 55 55 55
    12 150120=30150-120 = 30 165120=45165-120 = 45 60 60 60
    13 150130=20150-130 = 20 165130=35165-130 = 35 180130=50180-130 = 50 65 65
    14 150140=10150-140 = 10 165140=25165-140 = 25 180140=40180-140 = 40 195140=55195-140 = 55 70

    a. Expected Monetary Value (EMV) Computation

    EMV(S)=[Payoff×P(D)]\text{EMV}(S) = \sum [\text{Payoff} \times P(D)]
    • For S=10S = 10: EMV(10)=50(1.00)=Rs.  50.00\text{EMV}(10) = 50(1.00) = \mathbf{Rs. \; 50.00}
    • For S=11S = 11: EMV(11)=40(0.20)+55(0.80)=8.00+44.00=Rs.  52.00\text{EMV}(11) = 40(0.20) + 55(0.80) = 8.00 + 44.00 = \mathbf{Rs. \; 52.00}
    • For S=12S = 12: EMV(12)=30(0.20)+45(0.20)+60(0.60)=6.00+9.00+36.00=Rs.  51.00\text{EMV}(12) = 30(0.20) + 45(0.20) + 60(0.60) = 6.00 + 9.00 + 36.00 = \mathbf{Rs. \; 51.00}
    • For S=13S = 13: EMV(13)=20(0.20)+35(0.20)+50(0.25)+65(0.35)=4.00+7.00+12.50+22.75=Rs.  46.25\text{EMV}(13) = 20(0.20) + 35(0.20) + 50(0.25) + 65(0.35) = 4.00 + 7.00 + 12.50 + 22.75 = \mathbf{Rs. \; 46.25}
    • For S=14S = 14: EMV(14)=10(0.20)+25(0.20)+40(0.25)+55(0.20)+70(0.15)=2.00+5.00+10.00+11.00+10.50=Rs.  38.50\text{EMV}(14) = 10(0.20) + 25(0.20) + 40(0.25) + 55(0.20) + 70(0.15) = 2.00 + 5.00 + 10.00 + 11.00 + 10.50 = \mathbf{Rs. \; 38.50}maxEMV=Rs.  52.00(at Stock S=11)\max \text{EMV} = \mathbf{Rs. \; 52.00} \quad (\text{at Stock } S = 11)$

    Answer a: To maximize expected profit, the vendor should buy 11 books.


    b. Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL) Computation

    Opportunity Loss (Regret) occurs when demand is unmet (lost profit = Rs. 5/unit) or items are overstocked (loss = Rs. 10/unit):

    • If D>SD > S: Regret=5(DS)\text{Regret} = 5(D - S)
    • If D<SD < S: Regret=10(SD)\text{Regret} = 10(S - D)
    • If D=SD = S: Regret=0\text{Regret} = 0

    Opportunity Loss Table (Rs.):

    Stock (SS) D=10D=10 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=11D=11 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=12D=12 (p=0.25p=0.25) D=13D=13 (p=0.20p=0.20) D=14D=14 (p=0.15p=0.15) EOL
    10 0 5(1)=55(1)=5 5(2)=105(2)=10 5(3)=155(3)=15 5(4)=205(4)=20 0+1.0+2.5+3.0+3.0=9.500 + 1.0 + 2.5 + 3.0 + 3.0 = \mathbf{9.50}
    11 10(1)=1010(1)=10 0 5(1)=55(1)=5 5(2)=105(2)=10 5(3)=155(3)=15 2.0+0+1.25+2.0+2.25=7.502.0 + 0 + 1.25 + 2.0 + 2.25 = \mathbf{7.50}
    12 10(2)=2010(2)=20 10(1)=1010(1)=10 0 5(1)=55(1)=5 5(2)=105(2)=10 4.0+2.0+0+1.0+1.50=8.504.0 + 2.0 + 0 + 1.0 + 1.50 = \mathbf{8.50}
    13 10(3)=3010(3)=30 10(2)=2010(2)=20 10(1)=1010(1)=10 0 5(1)=55(1)=5 6.0+4.0+2.5+0+0.75=13.256.0 + 4.0 + 2.5 + 0 + 0.75 = \mathbf{13.25}
    14 10(4)=4010(4)=40 10(3)=3010(3)=30 10(2)=2010(2)=20 10(1)=1010(1)=10 0 8.0+6.0+5.0+2.0+0=21.008.0 + 6.0 + 5.0 + 2.0 + 0 = \mathbf{21.00}
    minEOL=Rs.  7.50(at Stock S=11)\min \text{EOL} = \mathbf{Rs. \; 7.50} \quad (\text{at Stock } S = 11)

    Answer b: Based on the EOL criterion, the vendor should buy 11 books.


    c. Comment on Results from (a) and (b)

    1. Consistency of Optimal Decision: Both the EMV maximization criterion and the EOL minimization criterion lead to the exact same optimal decision of stocking 11 books.
    2. Mathematical Duality: In decision theory, maximizing expected monetary value is mathematically equivalent to minimizing expected opportunity loss:
      Expected Profit with Perfect Information (EVPI)=Maximum EMV+Minimum EOL\text{Expected Profit with Perfect Information (EVPI)} = \text{Maximum EMV} + \text{Minimum EOL}
      EVPI=[5D×P(D)]=5(10)(0.2)+5(11)(0.2)+5(12)(0.25)+5(13)(0.2)+5(14)(0.15)=10+11+15+13+10.5=Rs. 59.50\text{EVPI} = \sum [5 D \times P(D)] = 5(10)(0.2) + 5(11)(0.2) + 5(12)(0.25) + 5(13)(0.2) + 5(14)(0.15) = 10 + 11 + 15 + 13 + 10.5 = \text{Rs. } 59.50
      Verification: Max EMV+Min EOL=52.00+7.50=59.50\text{Verification: } \text{Max EMV} + \text{Min EOL} = 52.00 + 7.50 = \mathbf{59.50}
    3. Managerial Implication: Because the cost of overstocking (Rs. 10) is twice as large as the profit from selling (Rs. 5), the critical ratio is Cu/(Cu+Co)=5/15=0.333C_u / (C_u + C_o) = 5/15 = 0.333. The retailer rationally adopts a conservative posture, choosing 11 books rather than stocking up to the mean demand (11.9 books).
  5. The midtown realty company wishes to assign each of its six real estate salespersons to one of six areas in midtown. Using the demography of the six areas and the past performance of their six salespersons, the company estimates that sales of property, in hours per year, would be as follows:

    Salesperson Area
    A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6
    A 13 9 8 10 12 14
    B 12 8 7 11 14 13
    C 10 9 6 9 12 12
    D 12 11 9 9 10 11
    E 9 7 8 8 9 10
    F 14 12 10 10 11 14

    Determine to which area each of the six salespersons should be assigned in order to maximize the total annual sales of houses.

    [10]
    View model solution

    Solution: Assignment Problem for Maximization (Hungarian Method)

    Given Sales Matrix (6×66 \times 6 Maximization Problem):

    Salesperson A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6
    A 13 9 8 10 12 14
    B 12 8 7 11 14 13
    C 10 9 6 9 12 12
    D 12 11 9 9 10 11
    E 9 7 8 8 9 10
    F 14 12 10 10 11 14

    Step 1: Convert Maximization Problem to Minimization (Relative Loss Matrix)

    Identify the maximum element in the entire matrix:

    Maximum Element=14\text{Maximum Element} = \mathbf{14}

    Subtract each element of the original matrix from 14:

    cij=14cijc'_{ij} = 14 - c_{ij}

    Relative Loss Matrix:

    Salesperson A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6
    A 1 5 6 4 2 0
    B 2 6 7 3 0 1
    C 4 5 8 5 2 2
    D 2 3 5 5 4 3
    E 5 7 6 6 5 4
    F 0 2 4 4 3 0

    Step 2: Row Reduction

    Subtract the minimum element of each row from all elements in that row:

    • Row A min = 0: [1,5,6,4,2,0][1, 5, 6, 4, 2, 0]
    • Row B min = 0: [2,6,7,3,0,1][2, 6, 7, 3, 0, 1]
    • Row C min = 2: [42,52,82,52,22,22]=[2,3,6,3,0,0][4-2, 5-2, 8-2, 5-2, 2-2, 2-2] = [2, 3, 6, 3, 0, 0]
    • Row D min = 2: [22,32,52,52,42,32]=[0,1,3,3,2,1][2-2, 3-2, 5-2, 5-2, 4-2, 3-2] = [0, 1, 3, 3, 2, 1]
    • Row E min = 4: [54,74,64,64,54,44]=[1,3,2,2,1,0][5-4, 7-4, 6-4, 6-4, 5-4, 4-4] = [1, 3, 2, 2, 1, 0]
    • Row F min = 0: [0,2,4,4,3,0][0, 2, 4, 4, 3, 0]

    Row-Reduced Matrix:

    Salesperson A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6
    A 1 5 6 4 2 0
    B 2 6 7 3 0 1
    C 2 3 6 3 0 0
    D 0 1 3 3 2 1
    E 1 3 2 2 1 0
    F 0 2 4 4 3 0

    Step 3: Column Reduction

    Subtract the minimum element of each column from all elements in that column:

    • Col A1 min = 0: [1,2,2,0,1,0][1, 2, 2, 0, 1, 0]
    • Col A2 min = 1: [51,61,31,11,31,21]=[4,5,2,0,2,1][5-1, 6-1, 3-1, 1-1, 3-1, 2-1] = [4, 5, 2, 0, 2, 1]
    • Col A3 min = 2: [62,72,62,32,22,42]=[4,5,4,1,0,2][6-2, 7-2, 6-2, 3-2, 2-2, 4-2] = [4, 5, 4, 1, 0, 2]
    • Col A4 min = 2: [42,32,32,32,22,42]=[2,1,1,1,0,2][4-2, 3-2, 3-2, 3-2, 2-2, 4-2] = [2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 2]
    • Col A5 min = 0: [2,0,0,2,1,3][2, 0, 0, 2, 1, 3]
    • Col A6 min = 0: [0,1,0,1,0,0][0, 1, 0, 1, 0, 0]

    Column-Reduced Matrix:

    Salesperson A1 A2 A3 A4 A5 A6
    A 1 4 4 2 2 0
    B 2 5 5 1 0 1
    C 2 2 4 1 0 0
    D 0 0 1 1 2 1
    E 1 2 0 0 1 0
    F 0 1 2 2 3 0

    Step 4: Test for Optimality & Iterative Improvement

    Cover all zeros with minimum lines:

    • Col A6 has zeros at A, C, E, F (Line 1: Col A6)
    • Row D has zeros at A1, A2 (Line 2: Row D)
    • Row E has zeros at A3, A4 (Line 3: Row E)
    • Col A5 has zeros at B, C (Line 4: Col A5)
    • Cell (F, A1) has zero (Line 5: Col A1 or Row F) Total lines = 5 < 6. Not optimal.

    Smallest uncovered element:

    • Uncovered elements include (A,A4)=2,(B,A4)=1,(C,A4)=1,(F,A2)=1(A, A4)=2, (B, A4)=1, (C, A4)=1, (F, A2)=1.
    • Minimum uncovered element k=1k = \mathbf{1}.
    • Subtract 1 from uncovered cells and add 1 to intersection cells. After performing the standard Hungarian revision, exactly 6 independent zero assignments are established:
    1. Salesperson A: Assign to Area A6 (original sales = 14)
    2. Salesperson B: Assign to Area A5 (original sales = 14)
    3. Salesperson D: Assign to Area A2 (original sales = 11)
    4. Salesperson E: Assign to Area A3 (original sales = 8)
    5. Salesperson F: Assign to Area A1 (original sales = 14)
    6. Salesperson C: Assign to Area A4 (original sales = 9)

    (Note: Alternative equally optimal assignments exist yielding the identical maximum total sales).


    Step 5: Maximum Total Sales Calculation

    Using original property sales estimates:

    Salesperson Assigned Area Annual Sales (Units / Hours)
    A Area A6 14
    B Area A5 14
    C Area A4 9
    D Area A2 11
    E Area A3 8
    F Area A1 14
    Total Sales 70 units/year

    Conclusion: The optimal assignment that maximizes total annual sales assigns:

    • Salesperson A \rightarrow Area A6
    • Salesperson B \rightarrow Area A5
    • Salesperson C \rightarrow Area A4
    • Salesperson D \rightarrow Area A2
    • Salesperson E \rightarrow Area A3
    • Salesperson F \rightarrow Area A1 The maximum total annual sales achieved is 70.
  6. Analyze the following case carefully and answer the questions that follow:

    BIROI is a rapidly expanding electronics and technology manufacturing company with a focus on smart home appliances and customer care. The CEO observed increasing production and service delivery inefficiencies as the company grew quickly over the previous two years. The company’s operational system was thoroughly reviewed by the operations manager, Ms. Shrestha, who started by mapping the transformation process, categorizing production as intermittent because of the variety of customisable items, and examining productivity kinds across departments. She also emphasized the increasing conflict between production and service operations, especially when it comes to coordinating factory floor objectives with customer service teams.

    In order to correspond with business objectives, Ms. Shrestha implemented an operations plan after realizing the necessity for an organized approach. She promoted a customer-centered service approach and a hybrid production strategy to reduce waste. Using concurrent engineering and quality function deployment (QFD), BIROI made investments in the design of products and services at the same time, emphasizing high-value features and customer feedback loops. However, there were difficulties in putting new inventory management systems into place, especially when it came to responding to fluctuating demand while maintaining economic order numbers. In order to reduce faults and apply statistical process control, the quality team simultaneously started implementing Six Sigma and ISO 9000 techniques, tracking variables with control charts.

    In order to enhance supply-chain decisions, BIRO also started applying decision theory. This included assessing opportunity losses and expected monetary values in the face of uncertainty. In order to maximize shipping and manpower allocation, the operations research team addressed logistical challenges related to transportation and assignment problem-solving strategies. Most recently, management used game theory to simulate the negotiation and examine methods with and without saddle points after a pricing dispute with a major distributor. Under Ms. Shrestha’s direction, the business underwent a transition that demonstrates how interrelated operations management principles foster sustained competitive advantage.

    a. How did Ms. Shrestha coordinate BIRO’s production and service functions using the concepts of operations management? b. How did decision-making in various departments change as a result of the integration of operations strategy? c. How did inventory control and quality systems contribute to increased operational effectiveness? d. How might tools from game theory and decision theory improve operations’ strategic planning and negotiations?

    [10]
    View model solution

    Case Study Analysis: BIROI Electronics & Technology Manufacturing

    Executive Summary:

    BIROI, a rapid-growth smart home appliance manufacturer, faced severe operational scaling bottlenecks—friction between factory production and customer care, volatile component demand, and distributor pricing conflicts. Operations Manager Ms. Shrestha executed an integrated operational turnaround by mapping transformation flows, adopting hybrid production, uniting design through QFD/concurrent engineering, implementing Six Sigma/ISO 9000, and applying quantitative operations research tools (decision theory, transportation modeling, and game theory).


    a. Coordinating Production and Service Functions Using Operations Concepts

    1. Mapping the Transformation Process: Ms. Shrestha mapped the complete value stream from raw electronic component intake to finished smart appliance assembly and post-sale technical support, eliminating organizational silos.
    2. Adopting a Hybrid Production Strategy: To balance product customization with scale economies, she instituted a hybrid layout—standardizing core electronic sub-assemblies (printed circuit boards, power modules) on continuous flow lines while finishing custom aesthetic panels, voice-control languages, and appliance attachments in intermittent batch cells.
    3. Closing the Customer Feedback Loop: Customer service teams handling warranty repairs, app connectivity glitches, and user inquiries fed field failure data directly into factory engineering, transforming customer care from a reactive complaint department into a real-time sensor for product reliability.

    b. Changes in Cross-Departmental Decision-Making via Operations Strategy Integration

    1. From Departmental Silos to Concurrent Engineering: Previously, product design operated independently of manufacturing and customer service. Ms. Shrestha instituted concurrent engineering and Quality Function Deployment (QFD), requiring designers, manufacturing engineers, procurement specialists, and customer care leads to collaborate from day one.
    2. Customer-Driven Prioritization (House of Quality): Marketing and engineering aligned around empirical customer preferences, prioritizing high-value smart features (energy efficiency, smartphone app reliability) while removing non-value-adding cosmetic complexity via value engineering.
    3. Strategic Resource Allocation: Operations strategy established clear priorities (quality and responsiveness over raw volume), enabling finance and HR to allocate budgets and performance rewards based on first-pass yield and customer satisfaction rather than gross output quotas.

    c. Contribution of Inventory Control and Quality Systems to Operational Effectiveness

    1. Statistical Quality Control (SQC) & Six Sigma:
      • Implementing ISO 9001 standard operating procedures created documented, repeatable assembly standards across all production shifts.
      • Applying Xˉ\bar{X} and RR control charts enabled shop-floor operators to detect process drift and assignable causes before defective smart appliances were assembled, driving defect rates down toward Six Sigma levels (under 3.4 defects per million opportunities).
    2. Scientific Inventory Management:
      • Deploying Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) and planned shortage models prevented working capital lockup in expensive microcontroller chips while buffering against volatile seasonal spikes in smart appliance demand.
      • Lowering inventory holding costs while maintaining safety stock stabilized production schedules and eliminated costly emergency component air-freight shipments.

    d. Strategic Improvement via Game Theory and Decision Theory Tools

    1. Decision Theory Under Uncertainty:
      • Evaluating Expected Monetary Value (EMV) and Expected Opportunity Loss (EOL) provided structured, probabilistic models for capital equipment investments and seasonal inventory pre-stocking, replacing executive guesswork with quantified risk assessment.
    2. Optimization via Transportation and Assignment Models:
      • Solved multi-warehouse, multi-market distribution problems to find the absolute minimum shipping haulage cost.
      • Used the Hungarian method to assign specialized technician teams to repair and installation zones to maximize labor productivity.
    3. Game Theory in Distributor Negotiations:
      • Simulating pricing negotiations with major distributors using payoff matrices allowed BIROI to identify whether pure strategy saddle points existed or whether randomized mixed pricing/promotional strategies were needed.
      • Safeguarded BIROI’s margins by adopting minimax strategies that secured minimum guaranteed profitability regardless of aggressive distributor discounting moves.