Board paper

Business Statistics 2023 Board Question Paper

STT 201 · Business Statistics

Programme
BBA-F
Academic year
Semester 3
Exam year
2023 AD
Sitting
regular
Full marks
100
Duration
180 minutes

Tribhuvan University

Faculty of Management

Office of the Dean

2023 AD / Regular Examination

Course: STT 201 · Business Statistics

Level: Bachelor of Business Administration in Finance (BBA-F) · Semester 3

Full Marks: 100

Time: 3 hrs.

Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. The figures in the margin indicate full marks.

Note: Shared Tribhuvan University Faculty of Management Common Board Examination Paper.

Section A

Brief Answer Questions .

[10*1=10]
  1. The covariance of X and Y is 30 and the variances of X and Y are 25 and 64 respectively. Find Karl Pearson’s coefficient of correlation between X and Y.

    [1]
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    Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Correlation (rr):

    Given:

    • Cov(X,Y)=30\text{Cov}(X, Y) = 30
    • Var(X)=σX2=25    σX=25=5\text{Var}(X) = \sigma_X^2 = 25 \implies \sigma_X = \sqrt{25} = 5
    • Var(Y)=σY2=64    σY=64=8\text{Var}(Y) = \sigma_Y^2 = 64 \implies \sigma_Y = \sqrt{64} = 8

    Formula:

    r=Cov(X,Y)σXσYr = \frac{\text{Cov}(X, Y)}{\sigma_X \cdot \sigma_Y}

    Calculation:

    r=305×8=3040=+0.75r = \frac{30}{5 \times 8} = \frac{30}{40} = \mathbf{+0.75}

    Final Answer: Karl Pearson’s coefficient of correlation between XX and YY is +0.75 (moderate to high positive correlation).

  2. If the values of upper quartile and lower quartile are 63 and 59 respectively, then calculate the coefficient of quartile deviation.

    [1]
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    Coefficient of Quartile Deviation:

    Given:

    • Upper Quartile (Q3Q_3) = 6363
    • Lower Quartile (Q1Q_1) = 5959

    Formula:

    Coefficient of QD=Q3Q1Q3+Q1\text{Coefficient of } QD = \frac{Q_3 - Q_1}{Q_3 + Q_1}

    Calculation:

    Coefficient of QD=635963+59=41220.0328(or 3.28%)\text{Coefficient of } QD = \frac{63 - 59}{63 + 59} = \frac{4}{122} \approx \mathbf{0.0328} \quad (\text{or } 3.28\%)

    Final Answer: The coefficient of quartile deviation is 0.0328.

  3. The equations of two regression lines are 4X-5Y+33=0 and 20X-9Y-107=0, find the mean values of X and Y.

    [1]
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    Mean Values of XX and YY from Regression Equations:

    Property:

    Both regression lines intersect at the point of their arithmetic means (Xˉ,Yˉ)(\bar{X}, \bar{Y}).

    Given Equations:

    1. 4Xˉ5Yˉ=334\bar{X} - 5\bar{Y} = -33
    2. 20Xˉ9Yˉ=10720\bar{X} - 9\bar{Y} = 107

    Solution:

    Multiply Equation (1) by 5:

    20Xˉ25Yˉ=165— (3)20\bar{X} - 25\bar{Y} = -165 \quad \text{--- (3)}

    Subtract Equation (3) from Equation (2):

    (20Xˉ9Yˉ)(20Xˉ25Yˉ)=107(165)(20\bar{X} - 9\bar{Y}) - (20\bar{X} - 25\bar{Y}) = 107 - (-165)
    16Yˉ=272    Yˉ=27216=1716\bar{Y} = 272 \implies \bar{Y} = \frac{272}{16} = \mathbf{17}

    Substitute Yˉ=17\bar{Y} = 17 into Equation (1):

    4Xˉ5(17)=334\bar{X} - 5(17) = -33
    4Xˉ85=33    4Xˉ=52    Xˉ=524=134\bar{X} - 85 = -33 \implies 4\bar{X} = 52 \implies \bar{X} = \frac{52}{4} = \mathbf{13}

    Final Answer: The mean values are Xˉ=13\bar{X} = 13 and Yˉ=17\bar{Y} = 17.

  4. Given that P(A∩B) = 0.7, P(A)= 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5,then find out the value of P(A∪B).

    [1]
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    Calculation of Probability P(AB)P(A \cup B):

    Given:

    • P(A)=0.4P(A) = 0.4
    • P(B)=0.5P(B) = 0.5
    • P(AB)=0.7P(A \cap B) = 0.7 (Note: In formal probability theory, P(AB)P(A \cap B) cannot exceed P(A)P(A) or P(B)P(B). This is an examination typo where P(AB)=0.7P(A \cup B) = 0.7 was intended).

    Method 1: Direct Formula Application

    By the Addition Theorem of Probability:

    P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cap B)
    P(AB)=0.4+0.50.7=0.20P(A \cup B) = 0.4 + 0.5 - 0.7 = \mathbf{0.20}

    Method 2: Typo-Corrected Interpretation

    If the problem intended P(AB)=0.7P(A \cup B) = 0.7 and asked to find P(AB)P(A \cap B):

    P(AB)=P(A)+P(B)P(AB)=0.4+0.50.7=0.20P(A \cap B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A \cup B) = 0.4 + 0.5 - 0.7 = \mathbf{0.20}

    Final Answer: Using the standard addition rule formula, P(AB)=0.20P(A \cup B) = 0.20.

  5. Find P(X=4), the mean of Poisson distribution (λ) is 1.5.

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    Poisson Probability P(X=4)P(X = 4):

    Given:

    • Mean parameter λ=1.5\lambda = 1.5
    • Number of occurrences x=4x = 4

    Poisson PMF Formula:

    P(X=x)=eλλxx!P(X = x) = \frac{e^{-\lambda} \lambda^x}{x!}

    Step-by-Step Calculation:

    • e1.50.22313e^{-1.5} \approx 0.22313
    • (1.5)4=5.0625(1.5)^4 = 5.0625
    • 4!=4×3×2×1=244! = 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1 = 24P(X=4)=0.22313×5.062524=1.1296240.0471P(X = 4) = \frac{0.22313 \times 5.0625}{24} = \frac{1.1296}{24} \approx \mathbf{0.0471}$

    Final Answer: P(X=4)=P(X = 4) = 0.0471 (or 4.71%).

  6. Calculate the standard error of mean when population size (N) = 1000, sample size (n) =100 and standard deviation (σ) = 10.

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    Standard Error of the Mean with Finite Population Correction (FPC):

    Given:

    • Population size (NN) = 10001000
    • Sample size (nn) = 100100
    • Standard deviation (σ\sigma) = 1010

    Sampling Fraction:

    nN=1001000=0.10(10%>5%), so FPC is applied.\frac{n}{N} = \frac{100}{1000} = 0.10 \quad (10\% > 5\%), \text{ so FPC is applied.}

    Formula:

    SEXˉ=σn×NnN1SE_{\bar{X}} = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \times \sqrt{\frac{N - n}{N - 1}}

    Calculation:

    σn=10100=1010=1.0\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{10}{\sqrt{100}} = \frac{10}{10} = 1.0
    FPC=100010010001=900999=0.90090.94916\text{FPC} = \sqrt{\frac{1000 - 100}{1000 - 1}} = \sqrt{\frac{900}{999}} = \sqrt{0.9009} \approx 0.94916
    SEXˉ=1.0×0.949160.9492SE_{\bar{X}} = 1.0 \times 0.94916 \approx \mathbf{0.9492}

    (Without FPC: SE=σn=1.0SE = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} = 1.0).

    Final Answer: The Standard Error of the mean is 0.9492.

  7. In a moderately asymmetric distribution, the values of mean and mode are 20 and 23 respectively. Compute the value of median.

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    Calculation of Median from Empirical Relationship:

    Given:

    • Mean=20\text{Mean} = 20
    • Mode=23\text{Mode} = 23

    Empirical Formula for Moderately Asymmetric Distributions:

    Mode=3Median2Mean\text{Mode} = 3\text{Median} - 2\text{Mean}

    Calculation:

    23=3Median2(20)23 = 3\text{Median} - 2(20)
    23=3Median4023 = 3\text{Median} - 40
    3Median=23+403\text{Median} = 23 + 40
    3Median=63    Median=633=213\text{Median} = 63 \implies \text{Median} = \frac{63}{3} = \mathbf{21}

    Final Answer: The value of the median is 21.

  8. Calculate coefficient of variation, when values of mean and standard deviation are 32 and 17 respectively.

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    Calculation of Coefficient of Variation (CV):

    Given:

    • Mean (Xˉ)=32\text{Mean } (\bar{X}) = 32
    • Standard Deviation (σ)=17\text{Standard Deviation } (\sigma) = 17

    Formula:

    CV=σXˉ×100CV = \frac{\sigma}{\bar{X}} \times 100

    Calculation:

    CV=1732×100=53.125%CV = \frac{17}{32} \times 100 = \mathbf{53.125\%}

    Final Answer: The Coefficient of Variation is 53.125%.

  9. Given that value of correlation coefficient is 0.84, interpret the result on the basis of coefficient of determination.

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    Coefficient of Determination and Interpretation:

    Given:

    • Correlation coefficient (rr) = 0.840.84

    Calculation of Coefficient of Determination (r2r^2):

    r2=(0.84)2=0.7056(or 70.56%)r^2 = (0.84)^2 = \mathbf{0.7056} \quad (\text{or } 70.56\%)

    Interpretation:

    • 70.56% of the total variation in the dependent variable is explained by or accounted for by the variation in the independent variable through the linear relationship.
    • The remaining 29.44% of the total variation remains unexplained, attributable to other omitted variables or random error.
  10. List out any four types of random sampling techniques.

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    Four Types of Random (Probability) Sampling Techniques:

    1. Simple Random Sampling (SRS): Every element in the population has an equal, known, and independent chance of selection (e.g., lottery method or random number generator).
    2. Stratified Random Sampling: The heterogeneous population is partitioned into mutually exclusive homogeneous strata, and random samples are drawn proportionally from each stratum.
    3. Systematic Random Sampling: Selecting every kthk^{\text{th}} item from a sampling frame after picking a random starting point between 11 and kk.
    4. Cluster Sampling: Dividing the population into geographically or naturally occurring heterogeneous clusters, and randomly selecting entire clusters for survey.

Section B

Short Answer Questions (Attempt any FIVE Questions ) .

[5*3=15]
  1. The following table shows the marks distribution of students in a subject:

    Marks 0-10 10-20 20-30 30-40 40-50 50-60
    Frequency 10 25 45 20 18 12

    Find the lowest marks of the top 20% of the students.

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    Lowest Marks of the Top 20% of Students (P80P_{80}):

    Concept:

    The lowest marks obtained by the top 20% of students corresponds to the 80th80^{\text{th}} Percentile (P80P_{80}) of the distribution.


    Cumulative Frequency Table:

    Marks Frequency (ff) Cumulative Frequency (cfcf)
    0 – 10 10 10
    10 – 20 25 35
    20 – 30 45 80
    30 – 40 20 100
    40 – 50 18 118
    50 – 60 12 130
    Total N=130N = 130

    Step 1: Locate P80P_{80} Class Position

    Position of P80=80×N100=80×130100=104th item\text{Position of } P_{80} = \frac{80 \times N}{100} = \frac{80 \times 130}{100} = 104^{\text{th}} \text{ item}

    The cumulative frequency just greater than 104 is 118, which corresponds to the class 40 – 50.


    Step 2: Apply the Percentile Interpolation Formula

    P80=L+(80N100cff)×hP_{80} = L + \left(\frac{\frac{80N}{100} - cf}{f}\right) \times h

    Where:

    • L=40L = 40 (Lower limit of P80P_{80} class)
    • cf=100cf = 100 (Cumulative frequency of the preceding class)
    • f=18f = 18 (Frequency of P80P_{80} class)
    • h=10h = 10 (Class width)
    P80=40+(10410018)×10=40+(418)×10=40+2.22=42.22P_{80} = 40 + \left(\frac{104 - 100}{18}\right) \times 10 = 40 + \left(\frac{4}{18}\right) \times 10 = 40 + 2.22 = \mathbf{42.22}

    Final Answer: The lowest marks scored by the top 20% of the students is 42.22 marks.

  2. A random sample of 50 items gave mean weight of 7.5 kg and a standard deviation of 1.5 kg. Find 95% confidence limits of weight within which the population mean would lie.

    [3]
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    95% Confidence Limits for Population Mean Weight:

    Given Data:

    • Sample size (nn) = 5050 (n30n \ge 30, large sample)
    • Sample mean (Xˉ\bar{X}) = 7.5 kg7.5 \text{ kg}
    • Sample standard deviation (ss) = 1.5 kg1.5 \text{ kg}
    • Confidence level = 95%    α=0.0595\% \implies \alpha = 0.05

    Step 1: Critical Value (Zα/2Z_{\alpha/2})

    For a 95% confidence interval, the two-tailed standard normal critical value is:

    Z0.025=1.96Z_{0.025} = 1.96


    Step 2: Standard Error of the Mean (SESE)

    SEXˉ=sn=1.550=1.57.07110.2121 kgSE_{\bar{X}} = \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} = \frac{1.5}{\sqrt{50}} = \frac{1.5}{7.0711} \approx 0.2121 \text{ kg}

    Step 3: Compute Confidence Limits

    Confidence Limits=Xˉ±Zα/2SEXˉ\text{Confidence Limits} = \bar{X} \pm Z_{\alpha/2} \cdot SE_{\bar{X}}
    Margin of Error=1.96×0.2121=0.4157 kg\text{Margin of Error} = 1.96 \times 0.2121 = 0.4157 \text{ kg}
    • Lower Limit: 7.50.4157=7.0843 kg7.5 - 0.4157 = \mathbf{7.0843 \text{ kg}}
    • Upper Limit: 7.5+0.4157=7.9157 kg7.5 + 0.4157 = \mathbf{7.9157 \text{ kg}}

    Final Answer: We are 95% confident that the true population mean weight lies between 7.08 kg and 7.92 kg ([7.084,7.916][7.084, 7.916]).

  3. The following table represents the marks of 100 students.

    Marks 0-20 20-40 40-60 60-80 80-100
    Students 14 - 27 - 15

    Find the missing frequencies when modal marks is 48.

    [3]
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    Calculation of Missing Frequencies Given Mode = 48:

    Given Data:

    • Total students (NN) = 100100
    • Mode=48\text{Mode} = 48

    Let the missing frequency for class 204020-40 be f1f_1 and for 608060-80 be f2f_2.

    Marks Frequency (ff)
    0 – 20 14
    20 – 40 f1f_1
    40 – 60 27
    60 – 80 f2f_2
    80 – 100 15
    Total N=100N = 100

    Step 1: Formulate Total Frequency Equation

    f=14+f1+27+f2+15=100\sum f = 14 + f_1 + 27 + f_2 + 15 = 100
    f1+f2+56=100    f1+f2=44— (1)f_1 + f_2 + 56 = 100 \implies f_1 + f_2 = 44 \quad \text{--- (1)}

    Step 2: Use Mode Formula

    Since Mode=48\text{Mode} = 48, it lies in the modal class 40 – 60.

    • Lower limit (LL) = 4040
    • Frequency of modal class (fmf_m) = 2727
    • Frequency of pre-modal class (f0f_0) = f1f_1
    • Frequency of post-modal class (f2f_2') = f2f_2
    • Class height (hh) = 2020Mode=L+[fmf02fmf0f2]×h\text{Mode} = L + \left[\frac{f_m - f_0}{2f_m - f_0 - f_2'}\right] \times h$
      48=40+[27f12(27)f1f2]×2048 = 40 + \left[\frac{27 - f_1}{2(27) - f_1 - f_2}\right] \times 20
      8=[27f154(f1+f2)]×208 = \left[\frac{27 - f_1}{54 - (f_1 + f_2)}\right] \times 20

    Substitute f1+f2=44f_1 + f_2 = 44 from Equation (1):

    8=[27f15444]×208 = \left[\frac{27 - f_1}{54 - 44}\right] \times 20
    8=[27f110]×208 = \left[\frac{27 - f_1}{10}\right] \times 20
    8=2(27f1)8 = 2(27 - f_1)
    4=27f1    f1=274=234 = 27 - f_1 \implies f_1 = 27 - 4 = \mathbf{23}

    Now find f2f_2 from Equation (1):

    f2=4423=21f_2 = 44 - 23 = \mathbf{21}

    Final Answer: The missing frequencies are f1=23f_1 = 23 (for 20–40) and f2=21f_2 = 21 (for 60–80).

  4. From the following income distribution of 500 workers in a locality, find the median value of the income distribution.

    Income (000 Rs) No. of workers
    Below 20 50
    20-40 90
    40-60 150
    60 - 80 100
    80 - 100 60
    100 & above 50
    [3]
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    Calculation of Median Income of 500 Workers:

    Cumulative Frequency Table:

    Income (Rs '000) Workers (ff) Cumulative Frequency (cfcf)
    0 – 20 50 50
    20 – 40 90 140
    40 – 60 150 290
    60 – 80 100 390
    80 – 100 60 450
    100 and above 50 500
    Total N=500N = 500

    Step 1: Identify Median Class

    Position of Median=N2=5002=250th item\text{Position of Median} = \frac{N}{2} = \frac{500}{2} = 250^{\text{th}} \text{ item}

    The cumulative frequency just greater than 250 is 290, so the Median Class is 40 – 60.


    Step 2: Apply Median Formula

    Md=L+(N2cff)×hM_d = L + \left(\frac{\frac{N}{2} - cf}{f}\right) \times h

    Where:

    • L=40L = 40
    • cf=140cf = 140
    • f=150f = 150
    • h=20h = 20Md=40+(250140150)×20=40+(110150)×20=40+14.67=54.67 (in ’000 Rs)M_d = 40 + \left(\frac{250 - 140}{150}\right) \times 20 = 40 + \left(\frac{110}{150}\right) \times 20 = 40 + 14.67 = \mathbf{54.67 \text{ (in '000 Rs)}}$

    Final Answer: The median income of the workers is Rs 54,667 (or 54.67 thousand Rs).

  5. From the following income distribution, calculate the appropriate measures of dispersion.

    Daily income (Rs) Number of workers
    Below 50 10
    51-100 18
    101-150 25
    151-200 20
    201-250 16
    250 and above 11
    [3]
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    Appropriate Measure of Dispersion for Open-Ended Distribution:

    Justification:

    The given distribution has open-ended classes (“Below 50” and “250 and above”). For open-ended distributions, neither the Range nor the Standard Deviation can be calculated without arbitrary class boundaries. Therefore, the Quartile Deviation (Semi-Interquartile Range) is the uniquely appropriate measure of dispersion.


    Cumulative Frequency with True Class Boundaries:

    (Correction factor =(5150)/2=0.5= (51 - 50)/2 = 0.5)

    Daily Income (Rs) ff Cumulative Frequency (cfcf)
    Below 50.5 10 10
    50.5 – 100.5 18 28
    100.5 – 150.5 25 53
    150.5 – 200.5 20 73
    200.5 – 250.5 16 89
    250.5 & above 11 100
    Total N=100N = 100

    Step 1: Lower Quartile (Q1Q_1)

    Position of Q1=N4=1004=25th item    Class: 50.5 – 100.5\text{Position of } Q_1 = \frac{N}{4} = \frac{100}{4} = 25^{\text{th}} \text{ item} \implies \text{Class: 50.5 – 100.5}
    Q1=50.5+(251018)×50=50.5+(1518)×50=50.5+41.67=92.17Q_1 = 50.5 + \left(\frac{25 - 10}{18}\right) \times 50 = 50.5 + \left(\frac{15}{18}\right) \times 50 = 50.5 + 41.67 = \mathbf{92.17}

    Step 2: Upper Quartile (Q3Q_3)

    Position of Q3=3N4=3004=75th item    Class: 200.5 – 250.5\text{Position of } Q_3 = \frac{3N}{4} = \frac{300}{4} = 75^{\text{th}} \text{ item} \implies \text{Class: 200.5 – 250.5}
    Q3=200.5+(757316)×50=200.5+(216)×50=200.5+6.25=206.75Q_3 = 200.5 + \left(\frac{75 - 73}{16}\right) \times 50 = 200.5 + \left(\frac{2}{16}\right) \times 50 = 200.5 + 6.25 = \mathbf{206.75}

    Step 3: Quartile Deviation (QDQD)

    QD=Q3Q12=206.7592.172=114.582=57.29QD = \frac{Q_3 - Q_1}{2} = \frac{206.75 - 92.17}{2} = \frac{114.58}{2} = \mathbf{57.29}
    Coefficient of QD=Q3Q1Q3+Q1=114.58298.92=0.3833\text{Coefficient of } QD = \frac{Q_3 - Q_1}{Q_3 + Q_1} = \frac{114.58}{298.92} = \mathbf{0.3833}

    Final Answer:

    • Quartile Deviation: Rs 57.29
    • Coefficient of QD: 0.3833
  6. The following information was obtained from two investment companies A and B:

    Company A Company B
    Average return (000Rs) 28 37
    Variance 25 36
    No. of observations 100 100

    Calculate combined standard deviation.

    [3]
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    Calculation of Combined Standard Deviation:

    Given Data:

    • Company A: n1=100n_1 = 100, Xˉ1=28\bar{X}_1 = 28, σ12=25\sigma_1^2 = 25
    • Company B: n2=100n_2 = 100, Xˉ2=37\bar{X}_2 = 37, σ22=36\sigma_2^2 = 36

    Step 1: Combined Mean (Xˉ12\bar{X}_{12})

    Xˉ12=n1Xˉ1+n2Xˉ2n1+n2=100(28)+100(37)100+100=2800+3700200=6500200=32.5\bar{X}_{12} = \frac{n_1 \bar{X}_1 + n_2 \bar{X}_2}{n_1 + n_2} = \frac{100(28) + 100(37)}{100 + 100} = \frac{2800 + 3700}{200} = \frac{6500}{200} = \mathbf{32.5}

    Step 2: Deviations of Individual Means from Combined Mean

    d1=Xˉ1Xˉ12=2832.5=4.5    d12=20.25d_1 = \bar{X}_1 - \bar{X}_{12} = 28 - 32.5 = -4.5 \implies d_1^2 = 20.25
    d2=Xˉ2Xˉ12=3732.5=+4.5    d22=20.25d_2 = \bar{X}_2 - \bar{X}_{12} = 37 - 32.5 = +4.5 \implies d_2^2 = 20.25

    Step 3: Combined Variance (σ122\sigma_{12}^2)

    σ122=n1(σ12+d12)+n2(σ22+d22)n1+n2\sigma_{12}^2 = \frac{n_1(\sigma_1^2 + d_1^2) + n_2(\sigma_2^2 + d_2^2)}{n_1 + n_2}
    σ122=100(25+20.25)+100(36+20.25)200\sigma_{12}^2 = \frac{100(25 + 20.25) + 100(36 + 20.25)}{200}
    σ122=100(45.25)+100(56.25)200=4525+5625200=10150200=50.75\sigma_{12}^2 = \frac{100(45.25) + 100(56.25)}{200} = \frac{4525 + 5625}{200} = \frac{10150}{200} = \mathbf{50.75}

    Step 4: Combined Standard Deviation (σ12\sigma_{12})

    σ12=50.757.1239 thousand Rs\sigma_{12} = \sqrt{50.75} \approx \mathbf{7.1239 \text{ thousand Rs}}

    Final Answer: The combined standard deviation is Rs 7,124 (or 7.12 thousand Rs).

Section C

Long Answer Questions : (Attempt any THREE Questions ) .

[3*5=15]
  1. The following table shows the average life of electric bulbs manufactured by X and Y companies:

    Compa n y X Company Y
    No. bulbs n 100 100
    Mean life in hours 1300 1250
    Standard deviation 80 90

    Test whether there is any significant difference in mean life of the electric bulbs produced by two companies at 5% level significance.

    [5]
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    Hypothesis Testing: Difference in Mean Life of Electric Bulbs:

    Step 1: Summary of Sample Statistics

    • Company X: n1=100n_1 = 100, Xˉ1=1300 hours\bar{X}_1 = 1300 \text{ hours}, s1=80 hourss_1 = 80 \text{ hours}
    • Company Y: n2=100n_2 = 100, Xˉ2=1250 hours\bar{X}_2 = 1250 \text{ hours}, s2=90 hourss_2 = 90 \text{ hours}
    • Level of significance (α\alpha) = 0.050.05

    Step 2: Formulate Hypotheses

    • Null Hypothesis (H0H_0): μ1=μ2\mu_1 = \mu_2 (There is no significant difference in the mean life of bulbs between Company X and Company Y).
    • Alternative Hypothesis (H1H_1): μ1μ2\mu_1 \ne \mu_2 (There is a significant difference in mean life — Two-tailed test).

    Step 3: Test Statistic (ZZ)

    Z=Xˉ1Xˉ2SEXˉ1Xˉ2=Xˉ1Xˉ2s12n1+s22n2Z = \frac{\bar{X}_1 - \bar{X}_2}{SE_{\bar{X}_1 - \bar{X}_2}} = \frac{\bar{X}_1 - \bar{X}_2}{\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}}

    Calculate Standard Error:

    s12n1=802100=6400100=64\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} = \frac{80^2}{100} = \frac{6400}{100} = 64
    s22n2=902100=8100100=81\frac{s_2^2}{n_2} = \frac{90^2}{100} = \frac{8100}{100} = 81
    SE=64+81=14512.0416SE = \sqrt{64 + 81} = \sqrt{145} \approx 12.0416

    Calculate Test Statistic:

    Zcal=1300125012.0416=5012.0416=4.152Z_{\text{cal}} = \frac{1300 - 1250}{12.0416} = \frac{50}{12.0416} = \mathbf{4.152}


    Step 4: Decision and Interpretation

    • For a two-tailed test at α=0.05\alpha = 0.05, the tabulated critical value is Ztab=±1.96Z_{\text{tab}} = \pm 1.96.
    • Decision Rule: Reject H0H_0 if Zcal>1.96|Z_{\text{cal}}| > 1.96.
    • Since Zcal=4.152>1.96|Z_{\text{cal}}| = 4.152 > 1.96, we reject the null hypothesis H0H_0.

    Conclusion: There is a statistically significant difference in the average life of electric bulbs produced by Company X and Company Y at the 5% level of significance (Company X bulbs have a significantly longer lifespan).

  2. Daily income of the part-time staff of a bank of 50 employees was found to be normally distributed with mean of Rs 1200 and standard deviation of Rs 120. Find the probability of employees having income (a) between Rs 1050 to Rs 1400 (b) between Rs 1250 to Rs 1500.

    [5]
    View model solution

    Normal Distribution Probabilities for Bank Employee Income:

    Given Parameters:

    • Mean (μ\mu) = Rs 1200\text{Rs } 1200
    • Standard Deviation (σ\sigma) = Rs 120\text{Rs } 120
    • Variable XN(1200,1202)X \sim N(1200, 120^2)

    (a) Probability of Income Between Rs 1,050 and Rs 1,400:

    Convert to standard normal ZZ-scores:

    Z1=10501200120=150120=1.25Z_1 = \frac{1050 - 1200}{120} = \frac{-150}{120} = -1.25
    Z2=14001200120=200120+1.67Z_2 = \frac{1400 - 1200}{120} = \frac{200}{120} \approx +1.67

    P(1050X1400)=P(1.25Z1.67)=P(0Z1.25)+P(0Z1.67)P(1050 \le X \le 1400) = P(-1.25 \le Z \le 1.67) = P(0 \le Z \le 1.25) + P(0 \le Z \le 1.67)

    From standard normal area tables:

    • Area(0Z1.25)=0.3944\text{Area}(0 \le Z \le 1.25) = 0.3944
    • Area(0Z1.67)=0.4525\text{Area}(0 \le Z \le 1.67) = 0.4525P=0.3944+0.4525=0.8469(or 84.69%)P = 0.3944 + 0.4525 = \mathbf{0.8469} \quad (\text{or } 84.69\%)$

    (b) Probability of Income Between Rs 1,250 and Rs 1,500:

    Convert to standard normal ZZ-scores:

    Z1=12501200120=50120+0.42Z_1 = \frac{1250 - 1200}{120} = \frac{50}{120} \approx +0.42
    Z2=15001200120=300120=+2.50Z_2 = \frac{1500 - 1200}{120} = \frac{300}{120} = +2.50

    P(1250X1500)=P(0.42Z2.50)=P(0Z2.50)P(0Z0.42)P(1250 \le X \le 1500) = P(0.42 \le Z \le 2.50) = P(0 \le Z \le 2.50) - P(0 \le Z \le 0.42)

    From standard normal area tables:

    • Area(0Z2.50)=0.4938\text{Area}(0 \le Z \le 2.50) = 0.4938
    • Area(0Z0.42)=0.1628\text{Area}(0 \le Z \le 0.42) = 0.1628P=0.49380.1628=0.3310(or 33.10%)P = 0.4938 - 0.1628 = \mathbf{0.3310} \quad (\text{or } 33.10\%)$

    Final Answer:

    • (a) Probability between Rs 1,050 and Rs 1,400: 0.8469 (approx. 42 out of 50 employees)
    • (b) Probability between Rs 1,250 and Rs 1,500: 0.3310 (approx. 17 out of 50 employees)
  3. From the following distribution, find the coefficient of skewness. Also comment the result.

    Monthly income (Rs 000) Number of workers
    0-100 15
    100-200 50
    200-300 75
    300-400 40
    400-500 30
    500- 600 10
    [5]
    View model solution

    Calculation of Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness:

    Calculation Table:

    Monthly Income (Rs 000) Mid-point (mm) ff d=m250100d = \frac{m - 250}{100} fdfd fd2fd^2
    0 – 100 50 15 -2 -30 60
    100 – 200 150 50 -1 -50 50
    200 – 300 250 75 0 0 0
    300 – 400 350 40 1 40 40
    400 – 500 450 30 2 60 120
    500 – 600 550 10 3 30 90
    Total N=220N = 220 fd=50\sum fd = 50 fd2=360\sum fd^2 = 360

    Step 1: Mean (Xˉ\bar{X})

    Xˉ=A+(fdN)×h=250+(50220)×100=250+22.73=272.73 thousand Rs\bar{X} = A + \left(\frac{\sum fd}{N}\right) \times h = 250 + \left(\frac{50}{220}\right) \times 100 = 250 + 22.73 = \mathbf{272.73 \text{ thousand Rs}}

    Step 2: Mode (MoM_o)

    Modal class is 200 – 300 (highest frequency f1=75f_1 = 75).

    • L=200L = 200, f0=50f_0 = 50, f2=40f_2 = 40, h=100h = 100Mo=L+[f1f02f1f0f2]×h=200+[75502(75)5040]×100=200+(2560)×100=241.67M_o = L + \left[\frac{f_1 - f_0}{2f_1 - f_0 - f_2}\right] \times h = 200 + \left[\frac{75 - 50}{2(75) - 50 - 40}\right] \times 100 = 200 + \left(\frac{25}{60}\right) \times 100 = \mathbf{241.67}$

    Step 3: Standard Deviation (σ\sigma)

    σ=h×fd2N(fdN)2=100×360220(50220)2=100×1.63640.05165=100×1.2589=125.89\sigma = h \times \sqrt{\frac{\sum fd^2}{N} - \left(\frac{\sum fd}{N}\right)^2} = 100 \times \sqrt{\frac{360}{220} - \left(\frac{50}{220}\right)^2} = 100 \times \sqrt{1.6364 - 0.05165} = 100 \times 1.2589 = \mathbf{125.89}

    Step 4: Karl Pearson’s Coefficient of Skewness (SkpSk_p)

    Skp=XˉMoσ=272.73241.67125.89=31.06125.89=+0.2467Sk_p = \frac{\bar{X} - M_o}{\sigma} = \frac{272.73 - 241.67}{125.89} = \frac{31.06}{125.89} = \mathbf{+0.2467}

    Interpretation: The distribution exhibits a positive skewness (Skp=+0.2467Sk_p = +0.2467), indicating that the distribution has a longer tail to the right and a concentration of lower to middle-income workers.

  4. From the following marks distribution of students of a campus, calculate the coefficient of kurtosis. Also, interpret the result.

    Marks Below 10 10 - 20 20 - 30 30 - 40 40 - 50 50 & above
    No. of students 50 100 150 90 60 50
    [5]
    View model solution

    Calculation of Percentile Coefficient of Kurtosis (KK):

    Concept:

    The Percentile Coefficient of Kurtosis is given by:

    K=QDP90P10=Q3Q12P90P10K = \frac{QD}{P_{90} - P_{10}} = \frac{\frac{Q_3 - Q_1}{2}}{P_{90} - P_{10}}


    Cumulative Frequency Table:

    Marks Frequency (ff) Cumulative Frequency (cfcf)
    0 – 10 50 50
    10 – 20 100 150
    20 – 30 150 300
    30 – 40 90 390
    40 – 50 60 450
    50 – 60 50 500
    Total N=500N = 500

    Step 1: Calculate Q1Q_1 and Q3Q_3

    • Q1Q_1 position: N4=125th    \frac{N}{4} = 125^{\text{th}} \implies Class 10 – 20
      Q1=10+(12550100)×10=10+7.5=17.5Q_1 = 10 + \left(\frac{125 - 50}{100}\right) \times 10 = 10 + 7.5 = \mathbf{17.5}
    • Q3Q_3 position: 3N4=375th    \frac{3N}{4} = 375^{\text{th}} \implies Class 30 – 40
      Q3=30+(37530090)×10=30+8.33=38.33Q_3 = 30 + \left(\frac{375 - 300}{90}\right) \times 10 = 30 + 8.33 = \mathbf{38.33}
    • Semi-Interquartile Range (QDQD):
      QD=38.3317.52=20.832=10.415QD = \frac{38.33 - 17.5}{2} = \frac{20.83}{2} = \mathbf{10.415}

    Step 2: Calculate P10P_{10} and P90P_{90}

    • P10P_{10} position: 10N100=50th    \frac{10N}{100} = 50^{\text{th}} \implies Exactly the upper boundary of class 0–10:
      P10=10.0P_{10} = \mathbf{10.0}
    • P90P_{90} position: 90N100=450th    \frac{90N}{100} = 450^{\text{th}} \implies Exactly the upper boundary of class 40–50:
      P90=50.0P_{90} = \mathbf{50.0}

    Step 3: Compute Kurtosis (KK)

    K=10.41550.010.0=10.41540=0.2604K = \frac{10.415}{50.0 - 10.0} = \frac{10.415}{40} = \mathbf{0.2604}

    Interpretation:

    • For a normal (mesokurtic) distribution, K=0.263K = 0.263.
    • Since K=0.2604<0.263K = 0.2604 < 0.263, the distribution is slightly platykurtic (flatter-topped than normal).

Section D

Comprehensive Answer Questions .

[20]
  1. Following table shows the income and expenditure of people of certain locality of small town city of Nepal.

    Income (000Rs) Expenditure (000 Rs)
    60 22
    55 20
    54 15
    52 17
    48 25
    52 21
    53 16
    47 17
    49 18
    50 19

    Find out: a. Coefficient of variations of income and expenditure and interpret the results. b. Correlation coefficient c. Two regression lines. d. Estimate the expenditure of a person whose income is Rs 70 thousand.

    [20]
    View model solution

    Income and Expenditure: Correlation and Regression Analysis

    Data Summary (n=10n = 10):

    • XX = Income (000 Rs): [60,55,54,52,48,52,53,47,49,50][60, 55, 54, 52, 48, 52, 53, 47, 49, 50]
    • YY = Expenditure (000 Rs): [22,20,15,17,25,21,16,17,18,19][22, 20, 15, 17, 25, 21, 16, 17, 18, 19]

    Summations:

    • X=520    Xˉ=52.0\sum X = 520 \implies \bar{X} = 52.0
    • Y=190    Yˉ=19.0\sum Y = 190 \implies \bar{Y} = 19.0
    • X2=27,172    (XXˉ)2=132\sum X^2 = 27,172 \implies \sum (X - \bar{X})^2 = 132
    • Y2=3,694    (YYˉ)2=84\sum Y^2 = 3,694 \implies \sum (Y - \bar{Y})^2 = 84
    • XY=9,885    (XXˉ)(YYˉ)=5\sum XY = 9,885 \implies \sum (X - \bar{X})(Y - \bar{Y}) = 5

    a. Coefficients of Variation (CV):

    σX=13210=13.2=3.633    CVX=3.63352×100=6.99%\sigma_X = \sqrt{\frac{132}{10}} = \sqrt{13.2} = 3.633 \implies CV_X = \frac{3.633}{52} \times 100 = \mathbf{6.99\%}
    σY=8410=8.4=2.898    CVY=2.89819×100=15.25%\sigma_Y = \sqrt{\frac{84}{10}} = \sqrt{8.4} = 2.898 \implies CV_Y = \frac{2.898}{19} \times 100 = \mathbf{15.25\%}

    Interpretation: Since CVX(6.99%)<CVY(15.25%)CV_X (6.99\%) < CV_Y (15.25\%), income is significantly more consistent and uniform than expenditure.


    b. Correlation Coefficient (rr):

    r=(XXˉ)(YYˉ)(XXˉ)2(YYˉ)2=5132×84=511088=5105.30=+0.0475r = \frac{\sum (X - \bar{X})(Y - \bar{Y})}{\sqrt{\sum (X - \bar{X})^2 \sum (Y - \bar{Y})^2}} = \frac{5}{\sqrt{132 \times 84}} = \frac{5}{\sqrt{11088}} = \frac{5}{105.30} = \mathbf{+0.0475}

    There is a negligible, weak positive linear correlation between income and expenditure in this sample.


    c. Two Regression Lines:

    1. Regression coefficient of YY on XX (bYXb_{YX}):

      bYX=51320.0379b_{YX} = \frac{5}{132} \approx 0.0379
      Line: YYˉ=bYX(XXˉ)Y - \bar{Y} = b_{YX}(X - \bar{X})Y19=0.0379(X52)    Y=17.03+0.0379XY - 19 = 0.0379(X - 52) \implies \mathbf{Y = 17.03 + 0.0379X}$

    2. Regression coefficient of XX on YY (bXYb_{XY}):

      bXY=5840.0595b_{XY} = \frac{5}{84} \approx 0.0595
      Line: XXˉ=bXY(YYˉ)X - \bar{X} = b_{XY}(Y - \bar{Y})X52=0.0595(Y19)    X=50.87+0.0595YX - 52 = 0.0595(Y - 19) \implies \mathbf{X = 50.87 + 0.0595Y}$


    d. Estimated Expenditure for Income = Rs 70,000 (X=70X = 70):

    Y^=17.03+0.0379(70)=17.03+2.65=19.68 thousand Rs (Rs 19,680)\hat{Y} = 17.03 + 0.0379(70) = 17.03 + 2.65 = \mathbf{19.68 \text{ thousand Rs (Rs 19,680)}}